Insidious-Strobe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$251

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-18 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$102	683	68	+615	open	—	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$27	434	0	+434	open	—	04-27 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$25	91	0	+91	open	—	04-26 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	04-26 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$16	33	19	+15	open	—	05-02 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$8	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-03 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-03 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Up	$-5	05-10 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	16	0	+16	open	—	05-18 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x70c50e…
05-10 20:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x57408e…
05-07 19:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x85a5af…
05-07 19:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x27c5ce…
05-03 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72a1c5…
05-03 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd7dcbe…
05-03 13:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x52c8bb…
05-02 15:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x498e1e…
05-02 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x63b641…
05-02 15:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7843a8…
05-02 15:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3be583…
04-28 00:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x37d323…
04-27 23:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	327	3¢	$10	0x9ee2cb…
04-27 23:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x2c7e07…
04-27 23:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	612	2¢	$15	0xcb8bde…
04-27 23:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	68	91¢	$62	0xfedc06…
04-27 23:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x90ee2d…
04-26 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	91	28¢	$25	0x66ae54…
04-26 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x403ef4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$21.0K	944	05-18 14:13
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	13	$7.38K	402	05-18 14:16
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	13	$7.05K	574	05-18 14:13
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	13	$4.41K	669	05-18 14:12
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	13	$2.66K	168	05-18 14:13
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	13	$2.56K	757	05-18 14:13
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	13	$2.49K	153	05-18 14:13
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	13	$2.33K	808	05-18 14:13