Sorrowful-Habit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$825

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-10 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 86% $-22

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$12	16	+16	Down	$-12	05-05 05:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	+$1	05-08 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$12	18	+18	Up	+$6	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-05 04:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-08 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-08 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-08 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Down	+$2	05-08 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Down	+$1	05-08 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Down	+$2	05-07 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-07 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	$-12	05-07 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-08 16:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-07 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-08 12:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	$-12	05-08 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-06 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Up	$-12	05-08 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-07 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-07 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-08 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-08 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Down	$-12	05-05 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-05 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$11	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-05 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$11	16	+16	Down	+$5	05-08 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$11	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:30:50	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260623205144681 518 212 289	Yes	BUY	550	2¢	$10	0xe8937b…
05-08 21:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xcf6bbe…
05-08 19:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xee18ef…
05-08 18:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x47464d…
05-08 17:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x8e8ffe…
05-08 17:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x64ae72…
05-08 16:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xcc3f77…
05-08 15:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xd342d7…
05-08 15:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x6d61b5…
05-08 15:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x497775…
05-08 14:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf2158c…
05-08 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x7b139b…
05-08 14:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd9a79c…
05-08 13:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xea779f…
05-08 12:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x630315…
05-08 12:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xe6b698…
05-08 09:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x0e71c2…
05-08 07:49:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xc937c2…
05-08 07:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xdb720d…
05-08 06:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6cbe9f…
05-07 02:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xf79e09…
05-07 02:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x6d0d8b…
05-07 02:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xed99fd…
05-07 01:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xce961e…
05-07 01:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xd25b45…
05-07 01:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xe13059…
05-06 22:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x66b0b8…
05-06 19:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0x452bd7…
05-05 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x79bc7c…
05-05 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0x944c8a…
05-05 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9f2466…
05-05 14:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x35b242…
05-05 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xb686e6…
05-05 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf138d3…
05-05 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x91ab8c…
05-05 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x75d7eb…
05-05 13:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x5de22a…
05-05 13:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xf25dda…
05-05 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xebe035…
05-05 12:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc308aa…
05-05 11:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x49ea6f…
05-05 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xe7f50c…
05-05 07:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x51ae49…
05-05 07:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x0a6fcb…
05-05 06:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xcc1bab…
05-05 05:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x0b4450…
05-05 05:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0xcc59c7…
05-05 04:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xa18cdb…
05-04 23:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x5a2981…
05-04 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0e8310…
05-04 20:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x27932e…
05-04 19:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x76d117…
05-04 19:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xb0abd6…
05-04 19:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x5be2c2…
05-04 19:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x682aaf…
05-04 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xc7aa54…
05-04 18:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb200e8…
05-04 18:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd36093…
05-04 18:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa918b9…
05-04 18:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x301cf4…
05-04 18:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x868c38…
05-04 18:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xab7029…
05-04 18:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xdadd67…
05-04 18:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1e87a5…
05-04 12:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x5a4142…
05-04 12:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xad8511…
05-04 12:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2623e4…
05-04 11:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x776a22…
05-04 10:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3de73f…
05-04 10:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x52fd34…
05-04 09:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2f6e77…
05-04 08:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x0bf2a5…
05-04 08:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x427d25…
05-03 16:04:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc3a57f…
05-03 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2ad0db…
05-03 00:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9cfb5e…
05-02 09:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x492673…
05-02 05:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4849ba…
05-02 03:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1b5a29…
05-01 23:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1e8ddb…
05-01 22:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xf0b19b…
05-01 22:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x097c3b…
05-01 21:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0cea4a…
05-01 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xffc635…
04-30 23:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3f3fd6…
04-30 15:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x04a900…
04-30 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9539e2…
04-27 13:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xe885c7…
04-10 19:23:33	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9d74a4…
04-10 19:18:49	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x22277b…