Fatal-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-18 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 50% +$2

Politics

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$13	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	3	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	164	118	+46	Down	$-0	05-05 23:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	1	$2	223	0	+223	open	—	05-04 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x0c5c0f…
05-18 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xeeed1c…
05-18 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xd7af25…
05-18 20:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x55a4cc…
05-18 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3f9dd1…
05-13 23:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x9f666b…
05-13 22:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x1bb77e…
05-13 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0xf9f14c…
05-13 10:27:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x5a1401…
05-12 23:06:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x57503f…
05-05 23:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0x512a58…
05-05 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0xac99a7…
05-04 00:28:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	223	1¢	$2	0x0a95e7…
05-04 00:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1181e5…
05-04 00:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x61e4a5…
05-02 21:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0fadf3…