Willing-Legend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-19 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 36% $-6

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-16 22:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$12	17	14	+3	open	—	05-17 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$9	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$8	15	8	+7	open	—	05-03 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	open	—	05-04 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$6	7	4	+3	Down	$-2	05-11 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$6	53	3	+50	Up	$-0	05-11 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-08 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 20:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdace5e…
05-19 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd55977…
05-19 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeb1a02…
05-18 19:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16e4e5…
05-18 19:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x4fea2d…
05-18 19:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfb0974…
05-18 19:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x726998…
05-17 10:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1be321…
05-17 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xe7c1b6…
05-17 10:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb4f8b8…
05-17 10:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xcb8244…
05-17 10:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbe4109…
05-17 10:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe56ddb…
05-17 03:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x7d2953…
05-17 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb9d391…
05-17 03:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc49994…
05-16 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4f5d7b…
05-16 23:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2eac14…
05-16 23:22:56	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x83c589…
05-16 22:41:47	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d60c8…
05-16 22:37:11	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3fe131…
05-16 22:18:20	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x34ae33…
05-16 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe23db1…
05-16 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb5911f…
05-16 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x95ed63…
05-16 21:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd76db…
05-16 21:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x55b3a1…
05-16 20:58:01	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x990353…
05-14 06:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x67f9fd…
05-14 06:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0bb76e…
05-14 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbc1fca…
05-11 09:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x63d102…
05-11 09:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ab10e…
05-11 09:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6a0852…
05-11 09:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf0d844…
05-11 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0bb3ac…
05-11 09:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x407aae…
05-11 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x12ed4f…
05-11 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x52883e…
05-11 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x61f2e8…
05-11 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa881ba…
05-08 04:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa0cddc…
05-07 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa25b1a…
05-07 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48874b…
05-07 20:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa9d25d…
05-07 20:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x959b1e…
05-07 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2f0cb8…
05-07 20:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8ae4b7…
05-07 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a043e…
05-07 20:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf1738e…
05-04 09:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1328b5…
05-04 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4bea47…
05-04 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xadb003…
05-04 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x15a567…
05-04 09:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfdccb4…
05-04 09:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xddabea…
05-04 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x543696…
05-04 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xe0dea3…
05-04 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9f7e43…
05-04 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x46dc82…
05-04 07:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x477971…
05-04 07:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x10e9cf…
05-03 21:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x33e787…
05-03 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x24922c…
05-03 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x505002…
05-03 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x509524…
05-03 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1588dc…
05-03 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd8b35a…
05-03 13:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd9c47e…
05-03 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa1cb1d…
05-03 13:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd07620…
05-03 12:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x19a17f…
05-03 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb9c622…
05-03 12:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xba660f…
05-03 12:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x95f6d3…
05-03 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5bc543…
05-03 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5419ca…
05-03 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x37c9e2…
05-03 12:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xbd756e…
05-03 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa776fb…
05-03 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5f9c4d…
05-03 11:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4c3568…
05-03 11:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3f1d7a…
05-03 11:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x577aaa…
05-03 11:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6a13ce…
05-03 09:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3fd802…
05-03 09:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xfab8f8…