Troubled-Decoration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-01 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$853	106,632	+106,632	open	—	06-02 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$473	1,161	+1,161	open	—	05-15 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	204	$414	1,100	+1,100	Up	$-51	05-13 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	4	$325	429	+429	Down	+$104	05-06 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	142	$312	614	+614	Up	+$13	05-13 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$236	270	+270	Down	$-236	05-06 21:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	128	$231	775	+775	Up	$-42	05-13 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$149	362	+362	Up	$-56	05-07 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	11	$100	349	+349	open	—	05-15 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$96	146	+146	Up	$-96	05-06 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$95	98	+98	Up	+$3	05-07 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$92	130	+130	Down	$-92	05-06 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$91	120	+120	Up	$-91	05-07 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$90	92	+92	Down	+$2	05-07 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$90	93	+93	Down	+$3	05-06 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$89	104	+104	Up	+$14	05-07 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$89	98	+98	Up	+$9	05-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$89	91	+91	Up	+$2	05-07 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$89	109	+109	Up	$-89	05-07 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$89	89	+89	Down	+$0	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$89	117	+117	Down	$-89	05-07 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$88	149	+149	Down	+$60	05-07 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$88	93	+93	Up	+$5	05-07 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$88	99	+99	Up	+$11	05-07 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$87	94	+94	Down	+$7	05-07 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$87	125	+125	Up	+$38	05-06 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$86	87	+87	Up	+$1	05-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$86	89	+89	Down	+$4	05-07 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$85	131	+131	Down	+$46	05-07 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$84	87	+87	Up	+$3	05-06 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:44:56	doge updown 15m 1782909000	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x2586e8…
07-01 07:44:52	eth updown 15m 1782891000	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x2d34dd…
06-30 19:29:49	btc updown 15m 1782846900	Down	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x9d98c3…
06-30 13:44:59	xrp updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x4c3efe…
06-30 13:44:52	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc5ea9f…
06-18 20:00:01	doge updown 15m 1781811900	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1230af…
06-16 08:30:43	btc updown 15m 1781598600	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xf8b343…
06-16 05:30:43	eth updown 15m 1781587800	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc9ba35…
06-16 05:15:42	eth updown 15m 1781586900	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x5e7d49…
06-16 04:16:25	eth updown 15m 1781583300	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x19f65d…
06-16 02:45:48	xrp updown 15m 1781577900	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2f35d6…
06-16 02:45:42	eth updown 15m 1781577900	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd51190…
06-15 22:46:13	btc updown 15m 1781563500	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3e2eee…
06-15 22:30:43	xrp updown 15m 1781562600	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xca0887…
06-15 22:01:28	xrp updown 15m 1781560800	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xacc3d6…
06-15 21:45:52	btc updown 15m 1781559900	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x7d1101…
06-15 21:16:16	btc updown 15m 1781558100	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xdb42df…
06-15 11:00:45	xrp updown 15m 1781521200	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd95283…
06-14 03:14:49	eth updown 15m 1781406000	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcb209f…
06-11 06:53:42	btc updown 15m 1781160300	Up	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xcc042e…
06-11 06:38:31	btc updown 15m 1781159400	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa83db6…
06-11 06:08:31	btc updown 15m 1781157600	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf573d4…
06-11 05:53:42	btc updown 15m 1781156700	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xd7d653…
06-11 05:38:31	btc updown 15m 1781155800	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x25b84e…
06-11 04:38:39	btc updown 15m 1781152200	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x47f0a5…
06-11 04:08:39	btc updown 15m 1781150400	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc550bc…
06-11 03:23:31	btc updown 15m 1781147700	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x396cca…
06-11 03:08:37	btc updown 15m 1781146800	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x5b2454…
06-11 02:53:33	btc updown 15m 1781145900	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xf42619…
06-11 02:38:39	btc updown 15m 1781145000	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7236c9…
06-11 02:23:40	btc updown 15m 1781144100	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa14aed…
06-11 01:53:34	btc updown 15m 1781142300	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2ecf4f…
06-11 00:38:39	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xa942a7…
06-10 23:38:36	btc updown 15m 1781134200	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x914ae0…
06-10 23:08:31	btc updown 15m 1781132400	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x3e3ab7…
06-10 22:38:28	btc updown 15m 1781130600	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf0f030…
06-10 22:23:30	btc updown 15m 1781129700	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x4bb42b…
06-10 22:08:33	btc updown 15m 1781128800	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4a2e6c…
06-10 20:53:30	btc updown 15m 1781124300	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xbe3fac…
06-10 20:23:31	btc updown 15m 1781122500	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa5e2d1…
06-10 19:23:28	btc updown 15m 1781118900	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x0b911c…
06-10 18:53:30	btc updown 15m 1781117100	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x2a5438…
06-10 18:23:31	btc updown 15m 1781115300	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb01f3e…
06-10 17:38:30	btc updown 15m 1781112600	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x5e2a3c…
06-10 17:23:33	btc updown 15m 1781111700	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x70c440…
06-10 16:53:30	btc updown 15m 1781109900	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xb5bd3f…
06-10 15:38:33	btc updown 15m 1781105400	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x61625b…
06-10 14:52:22	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4a749c…
06-02 16:47:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106,632	1¢	$853	0x2a1ac6…
05-29 07:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x07e7da…
05-29 05:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x20ca9b…
05-29 04:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xfb9d69…
05-29 03:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x6e1615…
05-29 03:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x778fc3…
05-29 02:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3c4874…
05-29 01:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xa2e28f…
05-29 00:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xca0403…
05-29 00:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf3b487…
05-28 23:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc9428e…
05-28 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x3ee005…
05-28 22:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x16ab05…
05-28 21:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa71ce8…
05-28 21:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xac2915…
05-28 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x78e815…
05-28 20:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xe4ee5e…
05-28 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xe52f26…
05-21 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x73dc3f…
05-21 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xf8f0bf…
05-21 12:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x321d89…
05-21 11:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x3dfea6…
05-21 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xccf273…
05-21 11:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2bc6f3…
05-21 10:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4f8950…
05-21 09:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x181dac…
05-21 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x97a7e4…
05-21 06:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x491f76…
05-21 06:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x41f3cc…
05-21 05:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x78164b…
05-21 05:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xad7a4c…
05-21 04:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa59af0…
05-21 04:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x05bbad…
05-21 04:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa8a5da…
05-21 03:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x13c8f1…
05-21 03:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x43cbce…
05-21 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x144388…
05-21 02:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x876ff4…
05-21 02:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x421000…
05-21 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8e0e4e…
05-21 01:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xbf291d…
05-20 23:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x24f22b…
05-20 23:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa020ed…
05-20 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xd40b72…
05-20 22:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa2574d…
05-20 22:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xabe7df…
05-20 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x83c677…
05-20 20:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2bbd84…
05-20 20:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2f3159…
05-20 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xa54b5b…
05-20 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xb432e3…
05-20 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xbb8887…