Improbable-Motherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-01 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% +$7

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$1.7K	1,707	0	+1,707	Up	+$30	05-08 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	16	$1.1K	675	675	+0	open	—	05-15 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	17	$832	592	592	+0	Up	$-18	05-05 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	14	$781	698	235	+463	Up	+$84	05-12 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	11	$507	343	343	+0	open	—	05-02 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$489	311	311	+0	open	—	05-04 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	21	$451	246	246	+0	open	—	05-02 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$421	285	285	+0	open	—	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$351	323	323	+0	Up	$-49	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$340	196	187	+9	open	—	05-15 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$330	326	305	+21	Up	+$10	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$315	241	241	+0	Up	+$55	05-04 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	6	$309	211	211	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$305	441	441	+0	open	—	05-15 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$301	253	253	+0	open	—	04-30 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	9	$273	156	156	+0	Down	+$23	05-12 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	26	$267	178	177	+1	Up	+$46	05-05 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$247	293	147	+146	open	—	05-02 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$210	156	156	+0	open	—	05-02 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$200	291	0	+291	open	—	05-02 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$197	140	140	+0	Up	$-3	05-12 21:09
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	2	$196	150	150	+0	New York Yankees	$-2	05-04 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$185	250	250	+0	open	—	05-04 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$181	169	169	+0	Down	$-19	05-07 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	13	$181	152	104	+48	Up	+$19	05-08 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$179	210	75	+135	open	—	05-04 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$162	132	132	+0	open	—	04-30 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$150	171	0	+171	Down	$-44	05-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$144	175	175	+0	Down	$-56	05-05 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$125	362	0	+362	Down	$-125	05-12 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x8c0009…
06-01 14:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xfa2e27…
06-01 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8de0d4…
06-01 14:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc9eabc…
06-01 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x405425…
06-01 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xbd7ca3…
05-15 21:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	84	59¢	$50	0xb2bafb…
05-15 21:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x7ccd41…
05-15 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xfb8a48…
05-15 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc0197d…
05-15 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x60272f…
05-15 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x17c991…
05-15 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x00fab5…
05-15 21:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6a2e7a…
05-15 21:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x8452ac…
05-15 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e73f9…
05-15 20:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc66332…
05-15 20:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x821742…
05-15 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9a8180…
05-15 20:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdcbd65…
05-15 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8309cf…
05-15 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x0cbe28…
05-15 15:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe10c47…
05-15 15:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf298f5…
05-15 15:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x74876e…
05-15 15:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x95b259…
05-15 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x7f16d6…
05-15 15:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x83a79a…
05-15 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xed933c…
05-15 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	85	62¢	$53	0x1194a7…
05-15 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x51bf36…
05-15 14:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0xd96738…
05-15 14:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x9a42ab…
05-15 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x87f7e8…
05-15 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xb33017…
05-15 14:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x77c545…
05-15 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	211	95¢	$201	0x9930f0…
05-15 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$47	0x556fa1…
05-15 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x11df90…
05-15 14:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xb8f7f8…
05-15 14:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xb5c0bf…
05-15 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	118	43¢	$50	0xdcb0fa…
05-15 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0xc3cf8e…
05-15 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	134	8¢	$11	0xc15380…
05-15 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	406	23¢	$95	0x664b91…
05-15 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xae7278…
05-15 14:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x64c3a6…
05-15 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x28c13f…
05-15 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x044fa7…
05-15 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xedbec7…
05-15 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x948310…
05-15 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4d95d6…
05-15 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xd6af85…
05-15 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaf69d0…
05-15 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x64b81d…
05-15 13:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x885b7a…
05-15 13:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	186	95¢	$177	0xc67b2f…
05-15 13:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3e8ec0…
05-15 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xb3c3fa…
05-15 13:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87cd90…
05-15 13:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1f8b01…
05-15 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x801b4c…
05-15 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x592fd7…
05-15 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xb92623…
05-15 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x6dca3a…
05-15 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	437	61¢	$265	0xaeec08…
05-15 13:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xb3da96…
05-15 13:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4c5d53…
05-15 13:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0x40104a…
05-15 13:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x7165ef…
05-15 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x62059b…
05-15 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1e8e73…
05-15 13:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9d9a69…
05-15 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9ceb15…
05-15 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5aed8a…
05-15 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x00184e…
05-15 13:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7d40bd…
05-15 13:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3f512f…
05-15 13:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ed325…
05-15 13:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xaabd3e…
05-15 13:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8b36fa…
05-14 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xce3941…
05-14 19:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb59643…
05-13 14:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xd7ae34…
05-13 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa6a109…
05-13 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4dcbfd…
05-13 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc35b7…
05-13 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9af1ed…
05-13 14:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3c6968…
05-13 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x906244…
05-13 14:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xda6bc6…
05-13 14:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5a78f1…
05-12 21:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x61e2aa…
05-12 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf5f082…
05-12 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	87	54¢	$47	0xf8a9c6…
05-12 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x8a92e8…
05-12 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xdc4a67…
05-12 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2a6628…
05-12 21:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6c501b…
05-12 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x411bda…