Heartfelt-Toast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-13 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$55	37	37	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$49	33	33	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$49	30	30	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$43	26	26	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$40	25	25	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$35	26	26	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$30	57	0	+57	Down	$-30	05-06 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$19	05-13 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$28	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$24	31	0	+31	Down	$-24	05-06 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$21	36	0	+36	Down	$-21	05-06 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$20	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$19	31	0	+31	Up	$-19	05-06 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 03:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcee548…
05-13 03:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x094063…
05-13 03:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7b7cb7…
05-13 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6f0f29…
05-13 03:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1b8850…
05-13 03:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe374a9…
05-13 03:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe5c42d…
05-13 03:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa71e70…
05-13 03:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xd4dc5c…
05-13 03:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1f8f41…
05-13 03:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd65bda…
05-13 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4fab53…
05-13 03:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8f2db0…
05-13 03:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9a4763…
05-13 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4b7f3…
05-13 03:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1a233e…
05-13 03:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x839e78…
05-13 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x972862…
05-13 02:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaae10b…
05-13 02:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x726859…
05-13 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x15ade4…
05-13 02:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x36cae4…
05-13 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xde6fd2…
05-13 02:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x74fe18…
05-13 02:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d2d91…
05-13 02:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1b4e8d…
05-13 02:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf9192a…
05-13 02:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x100b62…
05-13 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdafb01…
05-13 02:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6f2a96…
05-13 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6f4ac4…
05-13 02:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b4b04…
05-13 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee3137…
05-13 02:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa1026c…
05-13 02:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0af75f…
05-13 02:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x61ac37…
05-13 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x323f82…
05-13 02:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x57db9e…
05-13 02:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x12fbe1…
05-13 02:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2457b3…
05-13 02:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x106ca4…
05-13 02:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe1e765…
05-13 02:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4e3ae1…
05-13 02:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x47f94c…
05-13 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x970cc0…
05-13 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x94b4f8…
05-13 02:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7f68f9…
05-13 01:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x05c537…
05-13 01:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd40882…
05-13 01:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x612637…
05-13 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc63d25…
05-13 01:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x825e41…
05-13 01:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xc21894…
05-13 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6d3340…
05-06 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x1c4705…
05-06 12:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xc8e05f…
05-06 12:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5865ea…
05-06 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x721772…
05-06 12:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x95eeed…
05-06 12:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xcc52dc…
05-06 12:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xd9b6ac…
05-06 12:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf496a9…
05-06 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xefca79…
05-06 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xa795cc…
05-06 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x9f8f44…
05-06 12:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x71fe9b…
05-06 11:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x57d6cd…
05-06 11:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xa4472c…
05-06 11:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xdd0035…
05-06 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xbb3fe2…
05-06 11:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x6a1f9c…
05-06 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xfafc65…
05-06 11:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x90fbc1…
05-06 11:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x84e98e…
05-06 11:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd46d58…
05-06 11:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe0bf51…
05-06 11:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x559ef9…
05-06 11:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x685977…
05-06 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9727d1…
05-06 11:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd397c4…
05-06 11:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x6b5b2e…
05-06 11:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x479678…
05-06 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x385719…
05-06 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x0f623a…
05-06 10:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xba11ed…
05-06 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x37f8e3…
05-06 10:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb66387…
05-06 10:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x67d703…
05-06 10:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x445ac8…
05-06 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcbf305…
05-06 10:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x689ead…
05-06 10:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x340f90…
05-06 10:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x8ed7a0…
05-06 10:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2386a3…
05-06 10:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x94d8cd…
05-06 10:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xae04c1…
05-06 10:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa609df…
05-06 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x009c14…
05-06 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xeb1413…
05-06 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb5cb53…