Boiling-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$292

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-12 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

44% 50% +$4

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	03-26 09:48
will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	5	$2.4K	1,281	1,281	+0	open	—	03-26 09:15
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,299	1,299	+0	No	+$4	03-26 10:16
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2.4K	1,244	1,244	+0	open	—	03-26 04:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	3	$443	2,574	2,574	+0	open	—	03-26 07:55
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	4	$257	2,794	2,794	+0	open	—	03-25 16:04
will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	3	$105	747	747	+0	open	—	03-26 05:01
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$92	1,289	1,289	+0	open	—	03-26 09:59
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$91	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 11:08
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	4	$79	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	03-25 11:37
Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	05-23 05:50
nba sac cha 2026 03 24	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	03-24 12:17
Spread: Italy (-1.5)	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	06-07 02:06
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 12:36
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 28c	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-24 12:08
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-12 14:55
Falkirk FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 06:09
eth updown 15m 1769278500	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-24 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:55:22	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x335492…
06-07 02:06:49	Spread: Italy (-1.5)	Greece	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x32ed26…
05-23 05:50:56	Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	FC Baník Ostrava	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x023b9a…
05-16 06:09:53	Falkirk FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3d62d4…
03-26 10:16:03	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1,299	94¢	$1,226	0xec2b18…
03-26 10:09:55	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	94¢	$994	0xfcc3c2…
03-26 10:09:55	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	243	94¢	$229	0x7d70ae…
03-26 09:59:53	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,289	3¢	$44	0x24f6c4…
03-26 09:54:31	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,289	4¢	$48	0x5283a1…
03-26 09:48:13	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,385	95¢	$1,316	0x72804b…
03-26 09:38:39	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,385	95¢	$1,316	0x069ed3…
03-26 09:15:51	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	No	SELL	912	96¢	$872	0xa27140…
03-26 09:15:51	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x38b8ed…
03-26 09:15:51	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	No	SELL	292	96¢	$279	0x1bec04…
03-26 09:06:01	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	No	BUY	1,112	96¢	$1,063	0x785419…
03-26 09:05:59	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	No	BUY	169	96¢	$162	0x40ab5d…
03-26 07:55:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	No	SELL	1,574	9¢	$135	0xf1f79a…
03-26 07:55:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	No	SELL	1,000	9¢	$86	0x9ff8c8…
03-26 07:46:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	No	BUY	2,574	9¢	$221	0x189bda…
03-26 05:01:51	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	SELL	747	7¢	$52	0x280824…
03-26 04:52:27	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	BUY	689	7¢	$48	0xec6853…
03-26 04:52:27	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xbd34bc…
03-26 04:30:25	Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1,244	96¢	$1,193	0x411306…
03-26 04:21:35	Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1,244	96¢	$1,197	0x26f823…
03-25 16:04:33	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,794	4¢	$123	0x97c5bf…
03-25 11:55:39	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	415	5¢	$20	0xe539e2…
03-25 11:55:39	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,680	5¢	$81	0xcca678…
03-25 11:55:39	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	699	5¢	$34	0x17b25a…
03-25 11:37:09	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	1,065	4¢	$40	0xc30e62…
03-25 11:26:53	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0xd55f67…
03-25 11:26:53	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	466	4¢	$17	0x72b6c3…
03-25 11:26:53	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	540	4¢	$19	0x395765…
03-25 11:08:19	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,263	4¢	$45	0x6e4a12…
03-25 10:58:53	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1,263	4¢	$45	0xb1b043…
03-24 12:36:45	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 24c	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xe9580b…
03-24 12:17:45	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Hornets	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xb4f9dd…
03-24 12:08:29	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 28c	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xb9cf74…
01-24 18:27:08	eth updown 15m 1769278500	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x405a0b…