Identical-Junket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$236

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-17 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% 67% $-6

Politics

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$2.3K	2,121	2,121	+0	No	+$1	03-20 16:21
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	3	$2.2K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	03-20 23:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2.2K	1,228	1,228	+0	No	$-7	03-20 22:39
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$207	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	03-21 00:02
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$137	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	03-20 23:30
aapl up or down on march 19 2026	2	$121	198	0	+198	open	—	03-19 14:37
rut up or down on march 19 2026	1	$106	312	0	+312	open	—	03-19 14:57
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$98	944	944	+0	open	—	03-20 09:53
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$58	1,083	1,083	+0	No	$-2	03-20 09:38
col ray sam 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 11:44
uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 exact score 1 2	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-19 11:52
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 14:59
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	06-17 05:24
es2 lpm mal 2026 06 07 total 0pt5	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-07 03:00
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	SC Freiburg	+$0	05-07 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:24:01	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x5ea1a9…
06-07 03:00:13	es2 lpm mal 2026 06 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x4c4d81…
05-14 14:59:50	Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)	CF Pachuca	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xd1cd61…
05-07 10:10:29	Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7447e7…
03-21 00:02:03	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,080	10¢	$104	0x894b34…
03-20 23:56:03	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	187	10¢	$18	0xc9235c…
03-20 23:56:03	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	893	10¢	$86	0x9130b8…
03-20 23:46:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	SELL	1,185	95¢	$1,125	0x05c05d…
03-20 23:39:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	BUY	724	95¢	$687	0xbad9df…
03-20 23:39:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	BUY	461	95¢	$437	0x328f8f…
03-20 23:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,428	5¢	$67	0x2b2dd6…
03-20 23:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,428	5¢	$70	0xe09373…
03-20 22:39:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,228	90¢	$1,110	0x529fe4…
03-20 22:34:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,228	91¢	$1,117	0xed1227…
03-20 16:21:51	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	696	4¢	$25	0xd714d9…
03-20 16:21:51	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	280	4¢	$10	0x158dcb…
03-20 16:15:31	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	976	4¢	$36	0xc3f4bb…
03-20 16:09:17	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	570	96¢	$549	0xe4e10c…
03-20 16:09:17	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	575	96¢	$554	0x032e65…
03-20 15:59:19	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	365	96¢	$351	0xa947c5…
03-20 15:59:19	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	275	96¢	$265	0x5a4a24…
03-20 15:59:17	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	505	96¢	$486	0xe44f02…
03-20 09:53:37	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	944	5¢	$49	0xaf7723…
03-20 09:47:31	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	944	5¢	$49	0x897cab…
03-20 09:38:51	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	427	3¢	$11	0xa82f04…
03-20 09:38:51	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	656	3¢	$17	0x3b27ed…
03-20 09:33:35	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,083	3¢	$30	0x6ec5ba…
03-19 14:57:49	rut up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	312	34¢	$106	0xf2c64e…
03-19 14:37:09	aapl up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	168	61¢	$102	0xec4252…
03-19 14:37:09	aapl up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x877f69…
03-19 11:52:59	uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 exact score 1 2	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x76dc65…
03-19 11:44:19	col ray sam 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xa9e3a0…