Misguided-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

118

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$47	28	28	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$47	49	38	+11	Down	$-8	05-10 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$40	43	20	+24	Up	+$4	05-11 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$31	51	36	+15	Down	+$8	05-10 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$30	40	24	+17	Up	+$7	05-10 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	10	$28	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$26	24	20	+5	Down	+$2	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$24	30	6	+24	Up	+$2	05-10 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$21	18	16	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$20	05-10 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$18	21	15	+7	Down	$-1	05-10 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$17	15	12	+3	Up	+$4	05-12 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	5	$17	15	12	+3	Down	+$1	05-11 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$17	27	10	+18	Up	$-7	05-10 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$16	31	31	+0	Down	$-15	05-10 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$16	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	19	15	+3	Down	$-7	05-10 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$13	14	10	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$13	15	11	+4	Up	+$3	05-12 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$13	15	11	+4	Down	+$1	05-11 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$12	14	8	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$12	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$12	13	8	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	9	$11	12	9	+3	Up	+$2	05-13 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$11	14	9	+5	Up	+$2	05-11 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 05:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb4fbd1…
05-13 05:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xb20c51…
05-13 05:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa9774d…
05-13 05:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xaeeb78…
05-13 05:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb86684…
05-13 04:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6304e8…
05-13 04:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xc073cb…
05-13 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x02aa23…
05-13 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xd2a261…
05-13 04:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x36bcea…
05-13 04:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd8ab2d…
05-13 04:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x89d2f2…
05-13 04:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x2e58fa…
05-13 04:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7c3a1d…
05-13 04:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x87d5d1…
05-13 04:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81d743…
05-13 04:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd17bc7…
05-13 04:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xd21c1c…
05-13 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x0f1051…
05-13 04:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8289ad…
05-13 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc44bdb…
05-13 04:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x7adaec…
05-13 04:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55bcf6…
05-13 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc90dce…
05-13 04:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xef29af…
05-12 11:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xeaa5cb…
05-12 11:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x09da47…
05-12 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x860040…
05-12 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xa4db7b…
05-12 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2a701a…
05-12 10:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x9baa5a…
05-12 10:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5bee88…
05-12 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x0db04b…
05-12 10:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe3cf0f…
05-12 10:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfe9669…
05-12 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xecd974…
05-12 10:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x7d5dbd…
05-12 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x10e293…
05-12 10:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x89e035…
05-12 10:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x81e08c…
05-12 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xabc482…
05-12 10:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x46bded…
05-12 10:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3d0f4d…
05-12 10:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xce5242…
05-12 10:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x8f7987…
05-12 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6b2a86…
05-12 10:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x915433…
05-12 10:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe03b84…
05-12 10:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x36c2e6…
05-12 10:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x048a4f…
05-12 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xebdafb…
05-12 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0ef298…
05-12 10:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x514add…
05-12 10:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x7db03d…
05-12 10:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x540e49…
05-12 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x13a186…
05-12 10:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x903518…
05-12 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9fae95…
05-12 06:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x2ad7a3…
05-12 06:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x666e39…
05-12 06:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xeca36b…
05-12 06:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa4956c…
05-12 06:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x8ac416…
05-12 06:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x604cd4…
05-12 06:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xb9963c…
05-12 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7be510…
05-12 06:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xf8193e…
05-12 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0fe53d…
05-12 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x23c590…
05-12 06:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x533775…
05-12 06:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe18230…
05-12 06:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xf6e1c0…
05-12 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x188acd…
05-12 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1088bb…
05-12 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0xe71d8d…
05-12 05:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6748f8…
05-12 05:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x938253…
05-12 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x137bbb…
05-12 05:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x867e1d…
05-12 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa6a8b0…
05-12 02:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x333338…
05-12 02:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x68bcad…
05-12 02:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x44f373…
05-12 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x0e359d…
05-12 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x576319…
05-12 02:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf655c9…
05-12 02:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x2f8c9f…
05-12 02:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xda46ed…
05-12 02:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x25ebb3…
05-12 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcef500…
05-12 01:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xfec51a…
05-12 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1a50c1…
05-12 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x4cb218…
05-12 01:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xafb8f1…
05-12 01:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x23f0a2…
05-12 01:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6f0635…
05-11 12:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x18f852…
05-11 12:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x878324…
05-11 12:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xffec56…
05-11 12:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x9536cc…