Giddy-Situation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$598

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-21 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 45% $-85

Other

11% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$54	36	34	+2	Down	+$2	05-12 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$31	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 19:07
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 19:27
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	05-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Down	$-25	05-12 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 19:59
Will Trump say "Magnet" this week?	1	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	05-12 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	$-15	05-12 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Down	$-15	05-12 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$12	120	7	+113	Up	$-2	05-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-12 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-12 20:21
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-12 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-12 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-12 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 19:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$9	56	56	+0	open	—	05-12 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:16:49	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfb0159…
05-21 16:15:47	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x27c81f…
05-19 17:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfc17e0…
05-19 06:23:53	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf8c875…
05-13 12:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x83c729…
05-13 11:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x131e1d…
05-13 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2acfe5…
05-13 11:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd1020c…
05-13 11:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe65a95…
05-13 11:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a9fe1…
05-13 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0fc048…
05-13 11:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd98971…
05-13 11:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x94a489…
05-13 11:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4273a6…
05-13 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf712c0…
05-12 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5fe8f4…
05-12 22:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b20c8…
05-12 22:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ef491…
05-12 22:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf393fc…
05-12 22:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x2abbe4…
05-12 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf72cc0…
05-12 22:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8131a0…
05-12 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6d3837…
05-12 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb82523…
05-12 22:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	34	79¢	$27	0x5b5798…
05-12 22:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0a367b…
05-12 22:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x030224…
05-12 22:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf363d2…
05-12 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xf38da4…
05-12 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x80b7bf…
05-12 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x39b357…
05-12 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6a0388…
05-12 21:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x2d1b19…
05-12 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x701682…
05-12 21:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x0ec8ea…
05-12 21:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbbbe65…
05-12 21:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x031378…
05-12 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b1f47…
05-12 21:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9beffd…
05-12 21:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1b78e7…
05-12 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xef4e05…
05-12 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc6f2ab…
05-12 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x6dc435…
05-12 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa80560…
05-12 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x66a769…
05-12 21:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3900ab…
05-12 20:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xdc5d48…
05-12 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc2c162…
05-12 20:53:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x99abfe…
05-12 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xab454d…
05-12 20:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x05c630…
05-12 20:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x929182…
05-12 20:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x82b777…
05-12 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xd3981d…
05-12 20:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xee0d45…
05-12 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x111ebf…
05-12 20:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x051230…
05-12 20:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7a9bd5…
05-12 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0x23796c…
05-12 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x71222e…
05-12 20:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0b054d…
05-12 20:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xc18aa2…
05-12 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4c9b3a…
05-12 20:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x83dec8…
05-12 20:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x25b929…
05-12 19:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x696bcb…
05-12 19:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xee7f6f…
05-12 19:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xaceac2…
05-12 19:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4cd055…
05-12 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xea4591…
05-12 19:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4ff3d3…
05-12 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xb2f6d0…
05-12 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd9c60c…
05-12 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x16d3e3…
05-12 19:27:44	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x2c1004…
05-12 19:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x76f9fd…
05-12 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xa1e0ac…
05-12 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa08154…
05-12 19:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5abf4e…
05-12 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6e921a…
05-12 19:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x509498…
05-12 19:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x714315…
05-12 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x87cb7e…
05-12 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xea3df5…
05-12 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x583dd5…
05-12 18:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2077fb…
05-12 18:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x93e94d…
05-12 18:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0xb56055…
05-12 18:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaaa788…
05-12 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b1253…
05-12 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x062d35…
05-12 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe447d2…
05-12 18:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0d59fd…
05-12 17:59:53	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x2fa7b1…
05-12 17:44:31	Will Trump say "Magnet" this week?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x336051…
05-12 17:43:49	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x17e7ef…
05-12 17:35:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xdd06a0…
05-12 17:12:34	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa72723…