Realized P&L
+$140
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
62
lifetime
Volume
$842
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$71
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-04 14:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
94% 42% +$147
Other
3% 50% -$2
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +38 $20 57¢ $22 +$2 10-04 14:34
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,303 -$16 1¢ $-17 -$1 07-30 23:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +79 $20 18¢ $14 -$6 05-11 18:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +113 $20 12¢ $13 -$7 04-29 15:42
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 04-29 15:42