Complicated-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$7.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-28 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Sports

45% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	8	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 01:37
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-05 08:46
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	6	$376	188	188	+0	No	$-0	04-05 22:47
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	5	$338	141	198	-56	open	—	04-28 04:56
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$274	137	137	+0	open	—	04-07 16:23
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	02-12 07:20
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	03-02 20:37
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	03-12 01:43
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	02-22 03:07
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	3	$185	93	93	+0	open	—	02-27 07:52
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 540 559	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-01 23:15
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	02-28 04:49
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	02-13 14:47
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	03-17 17:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-21 12:42
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-25 03:01
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-27 05:24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-16 17:18
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-23 08:12
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-16 05:17
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-19 02:11
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$140	70	70	+0	No	$-0	04-05 19:16
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-01 21:31
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-02 14:42
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	04-18 00:25
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	04-03 21:40
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-25 15:14
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-18 05:46
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	04-17 17:56
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$122	61	61	+0	No	$-0	03-23 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 04:56:40	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x756d80…
04-27 16:08:26	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x1b220c…
04-26 15:41:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x83555e…
04-26 15:14:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x6324d7…
04-19 17:06:44	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb02b9c…
04-19 12:52:48	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x4d08f9…
04-19 02:11:20	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xf0af94…
04-18 21:16:16	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x7805d6…
04-18 00:25:32	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x312c56…
04-17 17:56:52	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa47808…
04-17 17:56:34	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x1dd0c0…
04-17 06:16:10	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8c5fd2…
04-07 16:23:29	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xd59642…
04-07 11:24:05	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x96bedb…
04-05 22:47:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x3e9a98…
04-05 19:16:49	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x3f091c…
04-05 19:16:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x0fcb18…
04-05 14:46:37	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd2fb32…
04-05 08:08:07	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xaac7a3…
04-05 04:07:45	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x9fa2a4…
04-04 09:38:15	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xb649d7…
04-04 06:09:59	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x684f90…
04-03 21:40:01	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xa35f07…
04-03 19:49:47	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf321aa…
04-02 14:42:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xcd98f9…
04-02 03:17:23	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x224d03…
04-01 21:31:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xeb6a7a…
04-01 16:55:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x2ef0fe…
03-31 09:39:19	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x9a3b8e…
03-30 18:00:23	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96abe1…
03-29 15:24:10	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x12ce67…
03-29 11:10:38	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x0da4fb…
03-29 07:00:58	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x467c24…
03-29 02:30:22	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa91a09…
03-27 05:24:27	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xb4c7d5…
03-27 04:11:51	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x2f54be…
03-26 09:47:59	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xc8f7ac…
03-26 03:40:37	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6cee46…
03-25 21:27:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xfd40a9…
03-25 15:15:17	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x57263a…
03-25 15:14:57	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x05b3e9…
03-25 09:09:43	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xbfea52…
03-25 03:01:13	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x91bf43…
03-24 20:49:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x328480…
03-24 02:28:37	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x6f8118…
03-23 20:21:51	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x78fce5…
03-23 20:21:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb50c99…
03-23 14:17:01	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xc003d5…
03-23 08:12:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xa4cabd…
03-23 02:08:39	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xf1b3de…
03-22 20:06:09	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa50f3f…
03-22 14:03:27	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfd9a57…
03-21 12:42:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x8aabe7…
03-21 07:42:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xe0fa96…
03-21 01:37:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x60ccfb…
03-20 19:22:43	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x00dee9…
03-18 17:52:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x5a23b4…
03-18 11:45:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xf1cd4c…
03-18 05:46:07	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x3d59bc…
03-17 23:38:55	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xd66abe…
03-17 17:28:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xfecf59…
03-17 11:21:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x379aae…
03-16 17:18:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x4d2bbb…
03-16 11:15:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x67e784…
03-16 05:17:03	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x087ff6…
03-15 23:19:09	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa6d895…
03-14 17:30:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x6ff107…
03-14 11:38:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xc5ae3e…
03-13 18:03:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc5a570…
03-13 09:34:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x90d559…
03-12 21:58:41	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0xc72819…
03-12 21:58:11	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x39a988…
03-12 01:43:49	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x054990…
03-11 19:43:31	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xe6e116…
03-10 18:08:53	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Pacers	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x182ce5…
03-10 18:08:25	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Warriors	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x2fc6d5…
03-10 18:07:53	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x07f5dc…
03-07 13:45:31	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xba1213…
03-05 17:52:21	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Bulls	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x6b8502…
03-05 08:46:19	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x6964c5…
03-05 01:58:11	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb2807d…
03-05 01:57:53	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xb7da8a…
03-04 18:13:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x77b620…
03-03 20:39:19	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x629f0e…
03-03 20:38:43	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x001dd7…
03-03 12:03:13	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xf91ace…
03-03 12:02:45	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x17fa95…
03-02 20:37:43	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x604c67…
03-02 11:54:47	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xda0ae0…
03-01 23:15:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 540 559	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x70bfc8…
03-01 16:51:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 540 559	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xff5a00…
02-28 04:49:55	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xc68361…
02-27 21:52:29	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9e51a8…
02-27 07:52:17	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xce6ac6…
02-27 02:16:22	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x92e49b…
02-27 02:02:32	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xadd5f9…
02-26 09:54:10	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x69f860…
02-26 09:47:44	nba min lac 2026 02 26	Clippers	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf18607…
02-26 09:47:16	nba sac dal 2026 02 26	Kings	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x7d9616…
02-26 09:46:52	nba hou orl 2026 02 26	Rockets	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x5600fb…