Scarce-Cupola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-15 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	13	$56	130	0	+130	open	—	04-30 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	13	$46	88	0	+88	Up	$-2	05-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	15	$42	123	0	+123	open	—	05-02 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	11	$42	578	0	+578	open	—	05-02 21:39
btc updown 5m 1777053300	10	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	04-24 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	5	$40	34	24	+10	open	—	04-30 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	14	$37	79	0	+79	Up	$-0	05-05 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	15	$37	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$35	66	0	+66	open	—	04-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	10	$35	64	0	+64	Up	$-3	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	13	$33	65	0	+65	Down	$-5	05-05 14:36
btc updown 5m 1777052400	9	$30	62	0	+62	open	—	04-24 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	04-29 16:51
btc updown 5m 1777052700	6	$29	60	0	+60	open	—	04-24 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	7	$29	59	0	+59	open	—	04-27 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$29	57	0	+57	Up	$-1	05-07 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$28	54	0	+54	open	—	04-30 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	10	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-03 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$24	49	0	+49	open	—	04-27 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$22	45	0	+45	open	—	04-30 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$22	42	0	+42	Up	+$1	05-05 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$21	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$20	42	0	+42	Up	$-2	05-06 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-03 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-30 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$19	39	0	+39	open	—	04-27 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$18	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbbef8d…
05-15 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7b3518…
05-15 17:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7fac95…
05-15 17:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca6299…
05-15 17:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbe350e…
05-15 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xe9c5fc…
05-15 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6293a2…
05-15 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x19fdb8…
05-14 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xadfa1e…
05-14 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbb8294…
05-14 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5931f1…
05-14 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x36d204…
05-14 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4187ff…
05-14 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0f20b5…
05-14 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xae45e1…
05-14 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x61f66f…
05-14 10:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x372b81…
05-13 22:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22a320…
05-13 22:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9cfca2…
05-13 22:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3f2380…
05-13 22:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7c1050…
05-13 22:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x52c35c…
05-13 20:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5a115f…
05-13 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x834d13…
05-13 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc18e0e…
05-13 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaa454c…
05-13 19:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcbc08d…
05-13 19:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1a1a66…
05-13 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4f4d57…
05-13 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe66977…
05-13 17:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5677c3…
05-13 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3fab73…
05-13 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0553d4…
05-08 17:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb85e8f…
05-07 18:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfebd47…
05-07 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xaf190c…
05-07 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x47f470…
05-07 18:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7f5334…
05-07 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x45ffe8…
05-07 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x33f9d4…
05-07 18:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x921bba…
05-06 23:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb52739…
05-06 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc73a24…
05-06 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb069e6…
05-06 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x20ed4b…
05-06 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x10d90e…
05-06 23:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbdb2cf…
05-06 22:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7f2086…
05-06 22:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xd6fd2c…
05-06 22:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8a3937…
05-06 22:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xda0e38…
05-06 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x429958…
05-06 17:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x72387e…
05-06 17:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7658c3…
05-06 17:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x4f8c4a…
05-06 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x360b18…
05-06 17:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcf673f…
05-06 17:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3d7db3…
05-05 17:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xca07e5…
05-05 17:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x3d9776…
05-05 17:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbfe079…
05-05 17:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb15141…
05-05 17:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x548aa8…
05-05 17:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcf166c…
05-05 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3b4f8d…
05-05 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x50ea3f…
05-05 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x541533…
05-05 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x261c17…
05-05 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x06b5e5…
05-05 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x53c0e4…
05-05 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x63052a…
05-05 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59954e…
05-05 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x07f2ce…
05-05 16:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6f7b2c…
05-05 16:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xfa9a5b…
05-05 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x397aec…
05-05 16:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x87a662…
05-05 16:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc09e0c…
05-05 16:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x447d2b…
05-05 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8e36b3…
05-05 16:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa74850…
05-05 16:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x77b4cb…
05-05 16:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x103d87…
05-05 16:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa24edd…
05-05 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x40e709…
05-05 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25eab9…
05-05 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xedf25e…
05-05 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x751ea2…
05-05 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc63ee1…
05-05 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3fd529…
05-05 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd488f5…
05-05 15:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6e6257…
05-05 15:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x1b9b01…
05-05 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xed7383…
05-05 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9934ae…
05-05 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x00cdbe…
05-05 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4c1bd4…
05-05 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x6486ea…
05-05 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4e7776…
05-05 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x598487…