Thoughtful-Clef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$79

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-03 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$2

Crypto

28% 100% +$0

Politics

24% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No		-6	$-4	99¢	$-6	$-2	05-28 13:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$12	0	15	-15	open	—	05-31 12:43
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 23:02
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 16:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-09 23:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	05-23 12:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$4	0	6	-6	open	—	05-28 13:34
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-31 12:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-31 12:09
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	2	$3	3	3	+0	Over	+$1	05-13 20:25
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	3	$3	72	0	+72	open	—	05-28 10:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	05-26 22:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-17 07:44
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	2	$2	104	0	+104	open	—	06-03 20:33
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Li	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-21 11:12
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 18:45
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	05-28 13:34
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 21:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-29 21:56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	1	$2	3	0	+3	Coco Gauff	+$1	05-12 19:17
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-31 22:01
atp broady aguilar 2026 06 03	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	06-03 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 22:16:51	atp broady aguilar 2026 06 03	Liam Broady	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x84bcb9…
06-03 20:33:49	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c7bff…
06-03 20:22:19	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x67ca23…
05-31 22:01:39	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x182dcf…
05-31 12:43:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xe3a5de…
05-31 12:42:09	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xa59817…
05-31 12:09:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2163ec…
05-31 11:23:36	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa0704e…
05-29 21:56:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xeba126…
05-28 13:34:25	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa40b74…
05-28 13:34:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xd12c88…
05-28 10:59:45	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xb87288…
05-28 07:44:43	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdeda7c…
05-28 07:42:11	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07da43…
05-26 22:43:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1226bd…
05-23 12:24:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x04042b…
05-21 11:12:17	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Li	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1d2703…
05-20 16:13:32	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tommy Paul	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3a2397…
05-20 13:10:46	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tommy Paul	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd23c32…
05-17 07:44:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x1b4ac6…
05-16 23:02:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x4bc2b1…
05-16 23:01:11	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb30b1a…
05-14 21:05:27	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x35236b…
05-13 20:25:32	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8d13ba…
05-13 18:51:47	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8c37c4…
05-13 18:45:48	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8bb0ce…
05-12 19:17:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb4f783…
05-09 23:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1ebaac…
05-08 23:39:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa4a258…
05-08 23:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x476ce3…