Mortified-Geranium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-01 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% — —

Other

21% — —

Crypto

12% 67% +$13

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$602	556	556	+0	open	—	04-08 16:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$357	520	520	+0	open	—	03-31 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$128	152	152	+0	open	—	05-06 12:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$127	252	252	+0	open	—	03-13 12:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$105	68	68	+0	open	—	04-01 21:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$100	136	136	+0	open	—	03-17 23:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$62	38	38	+0	open	—	03-09 16:09
bitcoin above 70k on march 21	1	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	03-20 12:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	1	$50	75	0	+75	Yes	+$25	05-09 11:24
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$40	286	0	+286	open	—	03-11 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	1	$40	77	0	+77	No	$-40	05-10 22:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$33	58	58	+0	open	—	04-20 18:40
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$31	630	630	+0	open	—	03-31 03:13
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$31	62	62	+0	open	—	03-31 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	1	$30	59	0	+59	Yes	+$29	05-07 19:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$30	333	0	+333	open	—	04-08 19:08
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$30	107	0	+107	open	—	04-15 13:51
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$30	70	0	+70	open	—	03-09 23:11
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	04-01 21:30
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	03-22 12:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	2	$25	5,035	0	+5,035	open	—	07-01 11:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$22	333	333	+0	open	—	03-31 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	05-06 12:31
will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-01 21:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	05-07 19:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	1	$10	379	0	+379	open	—	07-01 13:02
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	03-17 23:31
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-23 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$3	83	0	+83	open	—	05-05 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:02:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	379	3¢	$10	0x6964e0…
07-01 11:32:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0xd3f352…
07-01 11:31:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	2,892	0¢	$10	0x30a04e…
05-10 22:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xb2a1ec…
05-09 11:24:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x8adc3b…
05-07 19:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x51a8f4…
05-07 19:19:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf67227…
05-06 12:31:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x911833…
05-06 12:30:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x46e445…
05-05 20:53:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0xe4f9c8…
04-20 18:40:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x848dce…
04-15 13:51:58	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x3f3326…
04-08 19:08:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x7398ef…
04-08 19:06:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x1f5cfe…
04-08 16:48:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	556	99¢	$552	0x649ce3…
04-01 21:31:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x44d11e…
04-01 21:30:49	will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x8b36d1…
04-01 21:30:11	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xf4585a…
04-01 21:29:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	68	80¢	$55	0x8b6f23…
03-31 03:13:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$2	0xbfea86…
03-31 03:13:25	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xac87b7…
03-31 03:13:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$4	0x8bf08d…
03-31 03:13:19	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	630	0¢	$1	0x395265…
03-23 16:30:01	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x868ee7…
03-23 16:29:39	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdaf690…
03-23 16:27:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xa988d5…
03-22 12:57:27	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa1e877…
03-20 12:46:21	bitcoin above 70k on march 21	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x4f1b02…
03-19 17:13:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	111	25¢	$27	0xc22d7d…
03-17 23:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x84a1e8…
03-17 23:33:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x43ff22…
03-17 23:32:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xc9934a…
03-17 23:31:03	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x20e308…
03-17 23:30:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x274f9d…
03-17 23:29:49	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	630	5¢	$30	0x1344f1…
03-17 23:28:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	136	37¢	$50	0x1190f9…
03-17 23:28:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	297	26¢	$79	0xb292c5…
03-13 15:04:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x3bbc12…
03-13 12:08:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	112	21¢	$23	0xa86d14…
03-12 01:13:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	112	27¢	$30	0xde3a5d…
03-12 01:11:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	105	26¢	$27	0x679d69…
03-11 11:37:43	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0x9d5fd3…
03-10 21:41:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0xe8fd59…
03-10 20:34:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x48f049…
03-10 18:54:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x566afb…
03-10 18:54:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	112	76¢	$85	0x1e9711…
03-09 23:11:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x124ce9…
03-09 23:08:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x87b5b4…
03-09 22:03:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xe9b431…
03-09 22:02:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe862ba…
03-09 16:09:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0xabf662…
03-07 22:51:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x4aefc4…
03-07 22:42:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x788025…