Multicolored-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$762

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-20 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 30% $-462

Politics

7% 0% $-300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	6	$696	680	680	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$663	527	527	+0	Down	+$87	05-09 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$511	277	277	+0	Down	+$37	05-09 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	5	$424	612	173	+440	Up	$-247	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$400	411	411	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 21:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$300	300,000	0	+300,000	Yes	$-300	05-09 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$247	408	408	+0	Up	$-143	05-09 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$211	202	202	+0	Up	$-21	05-09 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$170	301	271	+30	Up	$-130	05-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$133	164	164	+0	Up	$-38	05-09 21:04
btc updown 15m 1776001500	5	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$33	36	36	+0	Down	$-5	05-09 04:18
btc updown 15m 1775998800	8	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	04-12 13:11
btc updown 15m 1775934000	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	04-11 19:10
btc updown 15m 1775997000	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-12 12:35
btc updown 15m 1775933100	3	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	04-11 18:53
btc updown 15m 1776005100	5	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	04-12 14:48
btc updown 15m 1776003300	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-12 14:17
btc updown 15m 1775934900	4	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	04-11 19:19
btc updown 15m 1776000600	4	$13	15	8	+8	open	—	04-12 13:36
btc updown 15m 1775925900	4	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-11 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2a5596…
05-20 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xae90ac…
05-20 21:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x21c748…
05-20 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x648c11…
05-20 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7fee52…
05-20 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc67589…
05-20 21:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x676d24…
05-20 21:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x043804…
05-20 21:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xca4a61…
05-20 21:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfb9c97…
05-20 21:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbfe65e…
05-20 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x6306ed…
05-09 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	440	51¢	$225	0xaf12e0…
05-09 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	133	61¢	$81	0x153156…
05-09 22:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xc6746d…
05-09 22:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x782ec5…
05-09 22:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x66b3b1…
05-09 22:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	266	98¢	$260	0x902ebc…
05-09 22:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	137	71¢	$98	0x5286b3…
05-09 22:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	414	21¢	$87	0xad7388…
05-09 22:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x6d315a…
05-09 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x0a9922…
05-09 22:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	328	38¢	$126	0x044dc9…
05-09 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	277	99¢	$274	0x207ee4…
05-09 22:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x63810d…
05-09 22:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xba0b12…
05-09 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x1ae8e5…
05-09 21:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	408	13¢	$52	0xc1cc49…
05-09 21:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x95583e…
05-09 21:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x981143…
05-09 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xd8bf14…
05-09 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x795a95…
05-09 21:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	248	96¢	$238	0xcc5cd3…
05-09 21:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x6eb15e…
05-09 21:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xd45ca2…
05-09 21:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	279	49¢	$137	0x941f2a…
05-09 21:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa11d25…
05-09 21:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	179	49¢	$88	0x9d72c8…
05-09 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	411	49¢	$200	0x7b852f…
05-09 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xe97d2e…
05-09 21:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x7d4f94…
05-09 21:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xeeb380…
05-09 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	164	29¢	$47	0x476872…
05-09 20:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	52¢	$86	0xfed86a…
05-09 20:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	197	46¢	$92	0xf7f139…
05-09 20:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa7381e…
05-09 20:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb6796a…
05-09 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeb27b2…
05-09 20:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x82bb40…
05-09 20:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7576c5…
05-09 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xeed2fb…
05-09 20:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	271	7¢	$20	0xfd895e…
05-09 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5415ea…
05-09 20:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6aeea8…
05-09 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x0cae09…
05-09 19:30:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300,000	0¢	$300	0xc96f59…
05-09 04:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xe2b162…
05-09 04:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x8b388a…
05-09 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x5a4d70…
05-09 04:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0007fd…
04-12 14:48:31	btc updown 15m 1776005100	Down	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x45f527…
04-12 14:48:03	btc updown 15m 1776005100	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xd811c9…
04-12 14:48:03	btc updown 15m 1776005100	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc965ba…
04-12 14:48:03	btc updown 15m 1776005100	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x92315f…
04-12 14:48:03	btc updown 15m 1776005100	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x027fcf…
04-12 14:17:03	btc updown 15m 1776003300	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xf1fa53…
04-12 14:16:47	btc updown 15m 1776003300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xfba8fd…
04-12 14:16:47	btc updown 15m 1776003300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x8b942d…
04-12 14:16:29	btc updown 15m 1776003300	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x86f883…
04-12 13:54:57	btc updown 15m 1776001500	Down	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x717fa5…
04-12 13:52:23	btc updown 15m 1776001500	Down	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x536fdf…
04-12 13:51:57	btc updown 15m 1776001500	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x88dbee…
04-12 13:51:57	btc updown 15m 1776001500	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x4d4893…
04-12 13:51:57	btc updown 15m 1776001500	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3bfba3…
04-12 13:36:21	btc updown 15m 1776000600	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x46f083…
04-12 13:36:19	btc updown 15m 1776000600	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x15aad8…
04-12 13:33:41	btc updown 15m 1776000600	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x153daa…
04-12 13:32:17	btc updown 15m 1776000600	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf1dc99…
04-12 13:11:11	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0x5e4844…
04-12 13:05:27	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xa50f1f…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xff5e2a…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xf8ae1a…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xba0a21…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0xb4eeb9…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xa2b68c…
04-12 13:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775998800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x466f50…
04-12 12:35:01	btc updown 15m 1775997000	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x1942f8…
04-12 12:34:41	btc updown 15m 1775997000	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x1757f2…
04-11 19:19:07	btc updown 15m 1775934900	Up	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0xf1b051…
04-11 19:17:45	btc updown 15m 1775934900	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xf122df…
04-11 19:17:45	btc updown 15m 1775934900	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x50c0f0…
04-11 19:17:43	btc updown 15m 1775934900	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x6ea9a9…
04-11 19:10:13	btc updown 15m 1775934000	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xd1e066…
04-11 19:07:05	btc updown 15m 1775934000	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2ac5b5…
04-11 18:53:03	btc updown 15m 1775933100	Up	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x5f43be…
04-11 18:50:29	btc updown 15m 1775933100	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x825821…
04-11 18:50:27	btc updown 15m 1775933100	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x018ad0…
04-11 16:49:03	btc updown 15m 1775925900	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd547da…
04-11 16:49:03	btc updown 15m 1775925900	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7df635…
04-11 16:49:03	btc updown 15m 1775925900	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x592d6f…