Regular-Tarragon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 04-20 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-1

Sports

36% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.1K	569	569	+0	open	—	04-01 09:24
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$924	463	463	+0	open	—	04-13 07:20
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$836	418	418	+0	open	—	03-18 20:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$832	417	417	+0	open	—	03-30 09:40
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$828	414	414	+0	open	—	04-20 05:03
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$826	414	414	+0	No	$-0	04-13 01:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$816	409	409	+0	open	—	03-24 12:18
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$807	405	405	+0	No	$-1	04-06 22:41
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$564	282	282	+0	open	—	02-10 22:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	02-12 01:37
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$500	251	250	+0	open	—	02-14 14:57
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	03-28 11:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$446	224	224	+0	open	—	03-28 07:17
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	02-12 16:50
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	03-27 02:43
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$428	214	214	+0	open	—	02-28 06:41
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$420	211	211	+0	No	$-0	03-29 06:39
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$416	209	209	+0	open	—	04-06 21:02
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$414	208	208	+0	open	—	03-18 12:41
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$406	204	204	+0	open	—	03-05 04:50
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-13 23:38
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$377	189	189	+0	open	—	03-04 21:08
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-22 04:54
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$344	172	172	+0	open	—	04-13 23:16
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	03-26 08:03
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$271	271	0	+271	open	—	02-15 03:16
Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$73	73	0	+73	open	—	02-28 06:41
nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	1	$45	49	0	+49	open	—	03-12 19:53
will bnb dip to 500 in february	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	02-28 06:41
nba ind por 2026 03 08	1	$35	45	0	+45	open	—	03-08 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 05:03:56	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x273bdc…
04-19 02:44:22	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xbc7334…
04-17 04:02:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x1ea4f1…
04-17 02:34:02	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x2e4826…
04-13 23:16:13	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x08c686…
04-13 22:00:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x74631c…
04-13 07:20:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x7b283f…
04-13 02:48:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x6777ae…
04-13 01:18:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0x89f913…
04-12 23:05:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x9b0980…
04-06 22:41:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xba3a41…
04-06 21:02:25	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xc80da0…
04-06 21:02:07	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0xaae007…
04-06 15:03:07	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0xd312a1…
04-04 03:36:43	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x92f874…
04-03 20:11:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xbf93c0…
04-01 09:24:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0x00dc3b…
04-01 05:24:23	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x3b4823…
03-31 07:50:55	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x8e3e11…
03-31 06:35:23	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x9347e3…
03-30 09:40:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xe0516d…
03-30 05:47:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xafcb53…
03-30 01:54:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x5e47d9…
03-29 22:03:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x327ec0…
03-29 06:39:00	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x29c751…
03-29 02:35:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x19674e…
03-28 11:04:33	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x2cce90…
03-28 07:17:25	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xa20198…
03-28 07:17:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0x01c189…
03-28 00:56:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x0395fe…
03-27 08:54:45	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x53e19f…
03-27 02:43:33	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x87cc6a…
03-27 02:43:17	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x0c444e…
03-26 20:33:57	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xc49870…
03-26 08:03:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x718788…
03-26 01:52:13	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x942f86…
03-26 01:51:59	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$205	0x164b27…
03-25 19:35:07	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x322f9d…
03-24 12:18:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0xa59169…
03-24 06:05:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0x975a4b…
03-22 04:54:01	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x28a3d2…
03-21 22:28:09	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xc28078…
03-18 20:19:59	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x9b5480…
03-18 12:41:39	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x7a1abb…
03-18 12:41:25	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x2007b5…
03-18 05:07:13	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x622cbb…
03-15 16:55:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0x9ceb81…
03-15 02:18:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xc054e5…
03-13 23:38:33	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x014b4a…
03-13 17:06:11	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x9424f3…
03-12 19:53:09	nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	Hawks	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x5d51d8…
03-12 07:45:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xd081bb…
03-12 01:13:05	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x0d8ca1…
03-10 16:18:59	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x34c181…
03-08 20:46:01	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x64b8f7…
03-07 14:02:55	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe3f2bf…
03-05 04:50:39	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0xbdb19e…
03-04 23:18:49	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd30412…
03-04 23:18:33	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7c1765…
03-04 22:58:49	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x2c8e95…
03-04 22:53:53	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0x822135…
03-04 21:08:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xe89ac2…
03-04 14:56:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x778210…
03-04 14:20:41	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xf09ea3…
03-04 07:11:11	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xa2ce0e…
03-03 18:45:11	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	54	27¢	$15	0x46122f…
03-03 18:44:39	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xe6c13d…
03-03 11:08:23	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x7ccde1…
03-03 11:07:55	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x50361e…
03-03 11:07:09	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x1f7e51…
03-03 03:02:57	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7447ed…
03-02 20:27:43	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x24180d…
02-28 06:42:09	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2fb477…
02-28 06:41:49	will bnb dip to 500 in february	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9d627c…
02-28 06:41:19	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x2ac76e…
02-28 06:41:03	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x5636f1…
02-27 21:48:55	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xac13e2…
02-24 22:30:52	nba okc tor 2026 02 24	Thunder	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6d2e7c…
02-24 22:30:38	nba mia mil 2026 02 24	Heat	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x91cc45…
02-24 22:29:58	nba phi ind 2026 02 24	Pacers	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x27faee…
02-21 19:55:06	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x91fa43…
02-15 03:16:01	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xcf035a…
02-14 14:57:03	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xee11d3…
02-13 10:08:33	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xbd0e70…
02-12 16:50:17	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x334927…
02-12 01:37:39	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x97299e…
02-12 01:37:23	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x1e8c1d…
02-11 09:23:11	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x179984…
02-10 22:33:53	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x79714f…
02-10 10:39:53	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x1035e9…