Elaborate-Skull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$573

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-11 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

93% 75% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	5	$74	48	48	+1	open	—	04-11 00:24
hsi up or down on april 14 2026	6	$56	37	37	+0	open	—	04-14 09:45
hsi up or down on april 20 2026	5	$55	33	33	+0	open	—	04-20 14:47
hsi up or down on april 21 2026	3	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-21 09:13
hsi up or down on april 23 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 08:09
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$36	27	27	+1	open	—	04-14 21:22
xauusd up or down on april 9 2026	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-10 05:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 15:27
hsi up or down on april 22 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-22 08:32
btc updown 5m 1775833200	2	$20	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-10 15:05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 03:14
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-06 23:51
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	05-11 08:02
itc int com 2026 04 21 int	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 23:01
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 22:42
hsi up or down on april 16 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 09:00
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 28?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 10:45
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 01:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-20 14:51
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-19 13:40
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 psg	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 13:41
btc updown 5m 1775831400	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-10 14:33
btc updown 5m 1775799600	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-10 05:44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 08:07
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 16:26
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-11 23:59
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 23:59:00	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x553bc4…
05-11 08:02:13	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeff73b…
05-11 08:00:17	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6ec75f…
05-11 05:51:38	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x632f54…
05-06 23:51:52	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x84c02e…
05-06 16:07:27	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5b4310…
05-05 23:47:08	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x010184…
04-28 15:27:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xb188b4…
04-28 10:45:28	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x571c5f…
04-28 08:07:56	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbbaa25…
04-27 15:55:30	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdee66c…
04-26 16:26:50	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb0546c…
04-24 01:06:02	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf1a674…
04-23 08:09:40	hsi up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf64fbf…
04-23 03:14:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xb04dff…
04-23 03:13:58	hsi up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x893ab4…
04-22 13:14:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x50e3f9…
04-22 08:32:52	hsi up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2e4338…
04-21 23:01:38	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1281f3…
04-21 18:09:56	hsi up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x199c0a…
04-21 12:53:22	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3b473…
04-21 09:13:10	hsi up or down on april 21 2026	Up	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x682bc1…
04-21 05:18:46	hsi up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xe9e087…
04-21 05:18:26	hsi up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6d9ac9…
04-20 14:51:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9ab990…
04-20 14:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3bc219…
04-20 14:47:24	hsi up or down on april 20 2026	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9b6de0…
04-20 07:04:32	hsi up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x869bbb…
04-20 02:07:02	hsi up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9f6e43…
04-19 23:12:14	hsi up or down on april 20 2026	Up	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xe5b25d…
04-19 14:52:36	hsi up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb33082…
04-19 13:41:40	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 psg	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd449db…
04-19 13:40:28	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcd9392…
04-16 09:00:38	hsi up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x05001c…
04-16 00:00:02	hsi up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd5dc29…
04-15 22:42:46	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xed77d8…
04-15 15:50:56	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa58c50…
04-14 21:22:30	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x03cc73…
04-14 15:05:35	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd4e405…
04-14 09:45:19	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x46b408…
04-14 06:32:45	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4bb745…
04-14 06:24:31	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2bbfc9…
04-14 05:59:05	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Down	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x38dbaf…
04-14 05:25:35	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x102839…
04-14 05:19:51	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xde8f21…
04-14 02:12:37	hsi up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ef4ef…
04-11 00:24:27	xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x47f524…
04-10 16:42:33	xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7aac7f…
04-10 16:06:01	xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	Up	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x067fb9…
04-10 16:05:55	xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbbd0a4…
04-10 15:24:23	xauusd up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0cdfa3…
04-10 15:05:07	btc updown 5m 1775833200	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x36b019…
04-10 15:04:17	btc updown 5m 1775833200	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x36cf47…
04-10 14:33:41	btc updown 5m 1775831400	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9da7f4…
04-10 05:48:37	xauusd up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xefb3e9…
04-10 05:44:29	btc updown 5m 1775799600	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5376d5…
04-09 15:19:57	xauusd up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xe94bc4…