Astonishing-Councilperson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$359

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-11 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$19

Other

23% 100% +$2

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-435	$-361	82¢	$-359	+$2	06-11 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$471	271	271	+0	open	—	03-27 11:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$361	0	435	-435	open	—	06-11 15:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$336	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 09:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$306	368	368	+0	open	—	04-19 07:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$288	184	184	+0	open	—	04-03 16:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$285	269	269	+0	open	—	04-12 23:50
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$250	176	176	+0	open	—	04-03 09:36
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$219	122	122	+0	No	+$19	03-26 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$217	146	146	+0	open	—	04-23 09:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$199	133	131	+2	open	—	04-15 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$188	405	405	+0	open	—	04-08 00:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$186	460	460	+0	open	—	04-07 23:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$180	207	207	+0	open	—	04-15 22:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$178	252	252	+0	No	+$2	04-14 06:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$145	184	184	+0	open	—	04-12 05:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$131	500	500	+0	open	—	04-23 17:00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$122	78	78	+0	open	—	04-12 12:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$101	162	162	+0	open	—	04-07 23:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$94	53	52	+0	open	—	04-15 10:02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$84	139	139	+0	open	—	04-10 14:33
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$81	250	250	+0	open	—	04-07 23:51
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$79	54	54	+0	open	—	04-19 07:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$63	90	90	+0	open	—	04-17 19:26
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 23:52
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$49	148	148	+0	open	—	04-08 00:22
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$48	120	0	+120	open	—	03-30 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	04-15 22:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	175	0	+175	open	—	03-30 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	435	83¢	$361	0xfe9b90…
04-23 17:00:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$76	0x4881bc…
04-23 09:40:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xcaca82…
04-23 09:39:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0xce24f9…
04-23 09:38:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	146	85¢	$124	0x6c22b7…
04-19 07:52:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	146	63¢	$92	0x6edb78…
04-19 07:51:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	239	20¢	$48	0xdf4ce7…
04-19 07:50:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0xf54e38…
04-17 19:26:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	90	42¢	$37	0xc6a2cb…
04-15 22:15:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0x61846f…
04-15 22:12:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xf503a4…
04-15 22:10:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0xa92563…
04-15 22:06:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	58¢	$120	0xfc6d45…
04-15 10:02:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	131	91¢	$119	0xdf16dd…
04-15 10:02:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xd04fc9…
04-14 06:11:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	173	16¢	$28	0x85b0cc…
04-12 23:54:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x34942d…
04-12 23:52:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x0a596a…
04-12 23:50:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x03dea6…
04-12 12:39:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	125	53¢	$66	0x8b691e…
04-12 12:38:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0x4749ee…
04-12 12:38:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0xb6a816…
04-12 12:37:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	129	47¢	$61	0xdc3da2…
04-12 05:48:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	129	56¢	$72	0x0d7acf…
04-12 05:47:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	184	39¢	$72	0xfff7dc…
04-12 05:46:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	184	40¢	$74	0x32c44c…
04-12 05:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0x5f8dc9…
04-10 14:33:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	139	25¢	$34	0x80bbad…
04-08 00:22:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	385	0¢	$2	0x67b3a2…
04-08 00:22:07	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	148	6¢	$9	0xaf42c3…
04-07 23:52:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xb939aa…
04-07 23:52:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	391	1¢	$2	0x8c06a5…
04-07 23:51:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	162	0¢	$1	0x6125e8…
04-07 23:51:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x881291…
04-06 01:43:25	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	71¢	$55	0x91ab43…
04-05 13:31:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	173	22¢	$38	0x18ee5c…
04-05 13:31:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	49	78¢	$39	0x814203…
04-03 21:31:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	266	19¢	$51	0x1aca3a…
04-03 21:27:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	125	19¢	$24	0x93f7f9…
04-03 21:26:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x382f22…
04-03 16:37:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x3a5af1…
04-03 16:36:29	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	250	32¢	$80	0xd9d72e…
04-03 16:34:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	184	90¢	$166	0xa5fcc5…
04-03 16:34:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	87¢	$60	0x497227…
04-03 09:36:57	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	176	85¢	$150	0x0755bb…
04-03 09:36:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	169	89¢	$151	0x45bbd2…
04-03 09:35:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	405	46¢	$186	0xf52f03…
04-03 09:33:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x57002f…
04-01 01:12:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	184	66¢	$122	0xd37243…
03-30 08:49:54	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x011a7d…
03-30 08:47:14	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x161dbe…
03-30 08:45:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xef2172…
03-30 08:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x63211a…
03-30 08:39:50	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x6b0d8a…
03-30 08:38:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x3b0c22…
03-30 08:36:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xac7077…
03-30 08:34:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x425bf1…
03-27 11:19:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x1e14c4…
03-27 11:15:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	271	95¢	$257	0x9be5e3…
03-26 01:11:07	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0x7c1ee4…
03-24 22:52:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	271	79¢	$214	0xa04ebf…
03-23 09:24:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xcc050c…
03-23 03:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x89b076…
03-23 03:01:07	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x0aa99f…
03-16 20:27:03	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x9f553f…