Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$321

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

42% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-130	$-121	94¢	$-122	$-1	06-10 16:56
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-120	$-66	75¢	$-91	$-24	06-10 18:29
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$78	76¢	$76	$-2	07-07 10:15
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	+30	$19	66¢	$20	+$1	07-09 14:37
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+19	$11	68¢	$13	+$2	07-10 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$243	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 10:09
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	03-09 11:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$166	177	177	+0	open	—	03-28 08:03
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	2	$164	90	90	+0	open	—	06-22 08:09
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$121	0	130	-130	open	—	06-10 16:56
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$103	60	60	+0	No	+$12	04-10 07:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$1	04-03 13:37
nvda above 160 on january 2 2026	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	01-01 11:32
aapl above 230 on february 6 2026	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	02-05 09:43
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	02-12 18:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$85	87	0	+87	open	—	01-21 17:02
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	07-07 10:15
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$78	120	0	+120	open	—	03-09 11:25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$66	0	120	-120	open	—	06-10 18:29
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	4	$34	73	73	+0	open	—	07-09 15:19
will solana dip to 120 january 12 18	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	01-18 11:15
nflx above 130 on january 16 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	01-15 14:53
will nigeria win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	2	$31	40	0	+40	open	—	01-10 18:17
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	1	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	07-09 14:37
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$18	24	5	+19	open	—	07-10 19:06
will morocco win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	1	$9	23	0	+23	open	—	01-15 14:03
will amzn dip to 208 in march	1	$0	11	0	+11	open	—	03-02 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 19:06:25	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5ce7bc…
07-09 15:19:50	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0xbebc10…
07-09 14:37:35	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x73c5c3…
07-09 14:03:44	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd02edf…
07-09 13:43:14	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x04cde1…
07-07 10:15:26	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x048f96…
06-22 08:23:02	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0xf73d8e…
06-22 08:14:23	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xb6bb00…
06-22 08:09:08	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x4add4c…
06-10 18:29:27	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	77	55¢	$42	0x09c13a…
06-10 17:10:19	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x741d2e…
06-10 17:05:33	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x5b36e8…
06-10 16:56:21	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	93¢	$121	0x3272e0…
04-10 07:48:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x18921d…
04-03 13:47:13	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x607968…
04-03 13:37:13	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x3e9c8d…
03-28 11:17:53	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x315f29…
03-28 08:03:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0xc4eb64…
03-28 08:03:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	54	72¢	$39	0xfafd40…
03-28 08:02:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x75e18a…
03-28 08:02:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb480c5…
03-28 08:02:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xaf0016…
03-28 08:01:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xb6d783…
03-20 10:09:53	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0xe7c9f0…
03-13 07:55:25	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0xecc412…
03-09 11:25:03	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0xce6da1…
03-09 11:20:37	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x72ae73…
03-02 08:44:45	will amzn dip to 208 in march	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x639d39…
02-19 10:01:44	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xd86cf8…
02-12 18:17:13	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x682357…
02-05 09:43:21	aapl above 230 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3a725f…
01-21 17:02:08	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x3edbcf…
01-18 11:15:02	will solana dip to 120 january 12 18	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5091ad…
01-15 14:53:44	nflx above 130 on january 16 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5024a6…
01-15 14:03:32	will morocco win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	No	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xf04ae1…
01-10 18:17:16	will nigeria win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe47eb8…
01-10 18:16:48	will nigeria win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf04f52…
01-01 11:32:39	nvda above 160 on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7f6246…