Taut-Fig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-09 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% $-4

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	$-20	05-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-07 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$5	7	1	+6	Down	$-2	05-07 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$4	11	2	+9	Up	+$9	05-08 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-09 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 17:02
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a6175…
05-09 16:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x50ae5a…
05-09 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6b1c0b…
05-08 02:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6caa0c…
05-08 02:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc0ab78…
05-08 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x44668e…
05-08 02:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64541d…
05-08 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52d099…
05-08 02:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d68b9…
05-08 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb559a3…
05-08 02:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x50ddba…
05-08 02:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8d46fa…
05-08 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a4cae…
05-08 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6aeab4…
05-08 02:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d9b3c…
05-07 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0dd41e…
05-07 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa8c4a…
05-07 23:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9c8e4…
05-07 22:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc39620…
05-07 22:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x169359…
05-07 22:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf68b68…
05-07 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe69414…
05-07 22:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcfd2ee…
05-07 22:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa38895…
05-07 22:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x834ae5…
05-07 22:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x053670…
05-07 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xedcf41…
05-07 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf45acb…
05-07 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x75bbc8…
05-07 22:07:40	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa67ece…
05-07 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe85abd…
05-07 21:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x5bff21…
05-07 21:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3aac41…