Granular-Lamb-Item — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,004

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 04-28 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

90% 100% +$0

Politics

9% 33% $-57

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 567 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	26	$371	372	+372	open	—	04-12 18:00
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 21c	32	$239	245	+245	open	—	04-09 04:57
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 20c	18	$211	216	+216	open	—	04-08 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	10	$200	337	+337	open	—	04-26 02:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 14c	29	$188	215	+215	open	—	04-09 04:45
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 26c	22	$187	192	+192	open	—	04-08 16:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	8	$141	172	+172	open	—	04-25 14:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 19c	11	$126	145	+145	open	—	04-08 06:02
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 19c	16	$109	117	+117	open	—	04-08 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	2	$105	106	+106	open	—	04-27 21:45
highest temperature in moscow on april 10 2026 neg 3c	20	$93	93	+93	open	—	04-08 01:11
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	3	$84	85	+85	open	—	04-26 14:11
highest temperature in moscow on april 10 2026 2c	20	$83	94	+94	open	—	04-08 01:11
will elizabeth taylor get between 2 and 2pt25 million views in the first week	7	$76	80	+80	open	—	04-08 13:27
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 18c	10	$71	91	+91	open	—	04-08 05:43
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 24c	8	$71	76	+76	open	—	04-08 05:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 11c	13	$70	88	+88	open	—	04-08 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	2	$70	70	+70	open	—	04-28 04:41
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 56 57f	5	$67	69	+69	open	—	04-07 19:06
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?	7	$67	67	+67	open	—	04-08 03:37
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	7	$67	67	+67	open	—	04-08 03:37
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 72 73f	6	$61	63	+63	open	—	04-07 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 26?	6	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-26 04:16
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$58	66	+66	open	—	04-25 12:33
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$58	59	+59	open	—	04-12 19:23
highest temperature in munich on april 8 2026 17c	10	$58	74	+74	open	—	04-08 14:21
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 28c	7	$57	58	+58	open	—	04-12 18:59
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 23c	7	$57	57	+57	open	—	04-09 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?	2	$56	60	+60	open	—	04-25 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?	7	$55	112	+112	open	—	04-26 05:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 05:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc79a1…
04-28 05:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x8535fe…
04-28 05:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e6367…
04-28 05:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66b010…
04-28 05:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x860134…
04-28 04:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8214c1…
04-28 04:57:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xdb55e0…
04-28 04:57:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x24dbdb…
04-28 04:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3c050d…
04-28 04:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x62e72e…
04-28 04:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x512ca6…
04-28 04:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xab5596…
04-28 04:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1f9fe…
04-28 04:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cc466…
04-28 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a8b9c…
04-28 04:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xf25fd0…
04-28 04:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3f0a07…
04-28 04:46:54	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1c329c…
04-28 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x93960b…
04-28 04:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x713a65…
04-28 04:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0x48364a…
04-28 04:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdbe928…
04-28 04:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a7137…
04-28 04:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3bc5f1…
04-28 04:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa5b35…
04-28 04:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x6e9cc0…
04-28 04:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6abab6…
04-28 04:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x1477e1…
04-28 04:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xa1e4be…
04-28 04:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xae25a4…
04-28 04:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ff7c2…
04-28 04:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2b6f88…
04-28 04:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7d547c…
04-28 04:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x040e83…
04-28 04:34:26	Will there be exactly 5 major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0de42c…
04-28 04:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x4fd015…
04-28 04:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x20270a…
04-28 04:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x4ad8ad…
04-28 04:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xef3701…
04-28 04:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x8a70fa…
04-28 04:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcdf523…
04-28 04:21:32	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x37f975…
04-28 04:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x31ea48…
04-28 04:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x909602…
04-28 04:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4db7b2…
04-28 04:14:30	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x925715…
04-28 04:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x98f002…
04-28 04:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xf0f8b2…
04-28 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8407a1…
04-28 04:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf347f3…
04-28 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa656c3…
04-28 04:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x14df0e…
04-28 04:07:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd00420…
04-28 04:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x03c005…
04-28 04:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c7565…
04-28 04:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd0e51f…
04-28 04:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe8798d…
04-28 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6789ff…
04-28 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x8079b9…
04-28 04:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4d075e…
04-28 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5fab2c…
04-28 03:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf9bc17…
04-28 03:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x75fc31…
04-28 03:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x4123c9…
04-28 03:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfd60ce…
04-28 03:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4f6bf8…
04-28 03:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd92b1f…
04-28 03:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x915eda…
04-28 03:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfcf028…
04-28 03:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x061b65…
04-28 03:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x4363af…
04-28 03:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x99d61d…
04-28 03:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1e9816…
04-28 03:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x19f39a…
04-28 03:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0x942a78…
04-28 03:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x51bbe1…
04-28 03:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8eb062…
04-28 03:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa62ec0…
04-28 03:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd25ba7…
04-28 03:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf5daa6…
04-28 03:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x83c64e…
04-28 03:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3f2337…
04-28 03:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x3e7f9c…
04-28 03:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xc15d0f…
04-28 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd6ec9f…
04-28 03:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75d90f…
04-28 03:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x18b2a8…
04-28 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x17c744…
04-28 03:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb2fa4d…
04-28 03:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x333155…
04-28 03:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcbb619…
04-28 03:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc9b494…
04-28 03:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x26fd3a…
04-28 03:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf2a20f…
04-28 03:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb69b3f…
04-28 03:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x46d753…
04-28 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcc75ee…
04-28 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x062c2a…
04-28 02:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9fc646…
04-28 02:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x7b7e2e…