Bitter-Lament-Angle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$439

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$19	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$16	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$16	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$15	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$15	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 21:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$9	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$9	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$9	37	0	+37	Up	$-9	05-09 20:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 20:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 20:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 20:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 18:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x696340…
05-11 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x27325d…
05-11 20:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x49173b…
05-11 20:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x687afe…
05-11 20:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x29fc6a…
05-11 20:10:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4aa38b…
05-11 20:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x929510…
05-11 20:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6bff9c…
05-11 20:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x567bd6…
05-11 20:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x950126…
05-11 20:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x57a241…
05-11 20:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3cd444…
05-11 20:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x34edf6…
05-11 20:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2bf562…
05-11 19:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd08ec9…
05-11 19:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xa5a24a…
05-11 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x4a4b33…
05-11 19:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8aae96…
05-11 19:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x70e9ea…
05-11 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x352a14…
05-11 19:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf8e1d3…
05-11 19:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x05fc5b…
05-11 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x818185…
05-11 19:35:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb0d760…
05-11 19:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x88a727…
05-11 19:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdce596…
05-11 19:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe7ee3e…
05-11 19:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6409ad…
05-11 19:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xcc2be3…
05-11 19:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xefaf94…
05-11 19:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xdb80ea…
05-11 19:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x199301…
05-11 19:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0xe3886c…
05-11 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xa5a4ac…
05-11 19:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xb28946…
05-11 19:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x33a24e…
05-11 18:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x1b25cb…
05-11 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xc99163…
05-11 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9cbd94…
05-11 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x514452…
05-11 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x24f52d…
05-11 18:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xd036fa…
05-11 18:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x9e8142…
05-11 18:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x179b65…
05-11 18:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xac29a2…
05-11 18:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x40c219…
05-11 18:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe885a0…
05-11 18:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xe13dff…
05-11 18:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x67052d…
05-11 18:42:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xd56904…
05-11 18:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x02a513…
05-11 18:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x805aaa…
05-11 18:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcb28a2…
05-11 18:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x9f521f…
05-11 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8af2e7…
05-11 18:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xa243d4…
05-11 18:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xffa32a…
05-11 18:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc48503…
05-11 18:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x2c516f…
05-11 18:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x233f91…
05-11 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb8c666…
05-11 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa21c3f…
05-11 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x04b5c0…
05-09 21:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x454ca2…
05-09 21:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x107845…
05-09 21:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x24dd7f…
05-09 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x915c62…
05-09 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x63e95f…
05-09 21:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xd94009…
05-09 21:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x37825c…
05-09 21:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcddc56…
05-09 21:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x2e39a9…
05-09 21:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x78bdc9…
05-09 21:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x543963…
05-09 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x9591ff…
05-09 20:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x2eba7e…
05-09 20:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2b51b8…
05-09 20:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc1991a…
05-09 20:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x252f42…
05-09 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1dd321…
05-09 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1b88a0…
05-09 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xc83c36…
05-09 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x253f44…
05-09 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x50f5dd…
05-09 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x4f49bf…
05-09 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x127fc1…
05-09 20:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x81595a…
05-09 20:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x469262…
05-09 20:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xffc92b…
05-09 20:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc755b3…
05-09 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xad0bf8…
05-09 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x59b2fd…
05-09 20:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x8b2499…
05-09 20:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0xa06ee2…
05-09 20:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xff5ba3…
05-09 20:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0ece56…
05-09 20:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x6c6f93…
05-09 20:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x161bad…
05-09 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8f3d9a…
05-09 20:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x1a1abe…