Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$8.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 03-31 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

37% 60% $-0

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

23% 50% $-1

Sports

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	49	$450	238	233	+5	open	—	03-05 01:51
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	13	$301	218	112	+106	open	—	03-03 06:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	02-16 10:41
trump out as president by march 31	8	$197	101	100	+1	open	—	03-15 14:05
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	23	$197	160	71	+89	open	—	03-04 15:49
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	6	$186	130	130	+0	open	—	03-03 00:38
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$181	156	156	+0	open	—	03-03 13:31
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$150	78	78	+0	open	—	03-18 05:30
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$143	72	72	+0	open	—	03-31 15:12
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$141	73	73	+0	open	—	03-07 00:36
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	4	$138	96	96	+0	open	—	02-16 12:39
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	03-24 05:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$125	121	121	+0	open	—	03-02 11:30
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$122	85	85	+0	open	—	03-02 04:50
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	3	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	03-02 07:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	3	$119	66	65	+1	open	—	03-03 08:13
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	6	$117	119	119	+0	open	—	03-03 09:03
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	2	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	03-02 02:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$114	72	67	+5	open	—	03-22 02:09
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$113	62	62	+0	open	—	03-23 23:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	3	$109	55	55	+1	open	—	03-03 00:54
us strikes iraq by february 28	6	$107	70	70	+0	open	—	03-01 12:32
will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	03-20 11:05
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 02:49
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	6	$90	47	47	+0	No	$-1	03-21 16:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	2	$87	60	60	+0	open	—	03-03 01:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	03-21 19:24
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	03-21 09:01
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	03-03 02:29
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	2	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	03-03 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-31 15:12:19	Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4e5ea1…
03-31 15:12:05	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa65da4…
03-31 15:12:01	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x35d720…
03-31 15:11:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7aba63…
03-31 15:11:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x117e75…
03-27 07:29:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9ec11b…
03-27 07:29:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4e31dd…
03-27 07:29:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x0e53f1…
03-26 12:05:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x300cf2…
03-26 12:05:31	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x56ece5…
03-26 12:05:31	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4af31d…
03-26 10:59:27	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa5af51…
03-26 06:37:59	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x022302…
03-26 04:46:25	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd82d0a…
03-25 08:06:05	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4d39de…
03-25 08:04:45	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x9fbc35…
03-25 08:03:05	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x543fd2…
03-25 08:02:57	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xfa272e…
03-25 07:58:41	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x5aae67…
03-25 02:15:49	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xb1ac03…
03-25 02:10:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xf99156…
03-25 02:07:59	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x74d118…
03-25 01:15:23	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x4aeb48…
03-24 05:50:55	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb63664…
03-24 05:50:53	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xdca499…
03-24 05:20:15	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x947273…
03-24 05:19:03	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xf2b6bc…
03-24 04:43:41	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x929c11…
03-24 04:29:41	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x20b7ff…
03-24 03:59:57	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x93e6f2…
03-24 02:47:41	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ef477…
03-24 02:41:41	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbf4032…
03-24 02:31:33	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xbc4a40…
03-24 02:31:31	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x148442…
03-24 02:26:05	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdc892f…
03-24 02:20:55	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xf0e525…
03-24 01:45:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x834d1c…
03-24 00:58:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xd67be1…
03-23 23:45:01	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x74fa42…
03-23 23:44:25	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x962a71…
03-23 23:38:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x6eb0a8…
03-23 23:24:31	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x1021ac…
03-23 23:23:15	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xdbcafb…
03-22 09:52:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe73951…
03-22 09:52:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x18ee10…
03-22 09:46:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xde1f54…
03-22 09:05:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa0daf0…
03-22 09:02:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2fb169…
03-22 06:33:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xf318f8…
03-22 06:05:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x568608…
03-22 02:09:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x6e4d16…
03-22 01:00:23	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x86e314…
03-22 00:16:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6e9d2c…
03-21 23:23:21	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xffeb4d…
03-21 20:12:53	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8a630d…
03-21 19:24:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa45947…
03-21 17:32:45	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x55dafe…
03-21 16:19:55	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xa34220…
03-21 14:48:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0b56aa…
03-21 14:40:57	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x520371…
03-21 13:24:45	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6e0d5…
03-21 13:01:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x973fec…
03-21 12:48:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd0eef0…
03-21 12:37:13	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3c3ee9…
03-21 11:41:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcb0b9a…
03-21 11:18:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6a82fc…
03-21 10:41:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x133ec9…
03-21 10:24:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x099a83…
03-21 10:08:41	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x5a9af0…
03-21 09:39:59	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x9ba531…
03-21 09:22:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc4d20f…
03-21 09:01:03	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x02ce35…
03-21 08:13:09	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x525fa7…
03-21 08:12:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xe6c5c5…
03-21 07:49:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xe0444f…
03-21 07:04:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x491308…
03-21 06:41:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb0146a…
03-20 16:05:43	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3be422…
03-20 15:41:55	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x41329e…
03-20 15:00:39	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x732633…
03-20 14:34:31	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x6ee02b…
03-20 14:34:17	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x925030…
03-20 14:06:51	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x59690f…
03-20 14:03:03	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0dadd7…
03-20 11:05:39	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x7c0faf…
03-20 10:17:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc64cba…
03-20 09:12:03	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x61d4d0…
03-20 08:28:51	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x55e181…
03-20 08:14:15	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x986764…
03-20 07:26:23	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x1191cd…
03-20 06:52:19	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0xc11b10…
03-20 06:38:49	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x2d66e7…
03-20 06:12:29	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe74e48…
03-20 05:43:09	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x338533…
03-19 16:06:17	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcfd39e…
03-19 15:50:51	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9b24a9…
03-19 15:45:29	will andrey esipenko win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x86c9d2…
03-19 15:43:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc87a5f…
03-19 14:41:55	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8cdc72…
03-19 14:33:15	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x3da1eb…