Anguished-Narrative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$95.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$446

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

62% — —

Other

27% — —

Crypto

10% 24% $-7

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	20	$29.1K	14,682	14,682	+0	open	—	01-02 23:13
will the pittsburgh steelers win super bowl 2026	7	$19.9K	10,029	10,029	+0	open	—	01-02 19:04
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$15.9K	4,980	10,970	-5,990	open	—	01-02 16:17
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$9.9K	5,005	5,005	+0	open	—	01-02 13:50
will the tampa bay buccaneers win super bowl 2026	3	$9.6K	4,840	4,840	+0	open	—	01-02 11:03
bitcoin above 84k on january 3	5	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	01-02 23:54
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$699	0	700	-700	open	—	01-01 13:11
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$629	410	410	-0	open	—	01-02 11:09
will the los angeles chargers win super bowl 2026	3	$197	101	101	+0	open	—	01-03 03:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$173	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	03-18 09:43
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	15	$81	310	310	+0	open	—	01-01 20:41
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	15	$60	210	210	+0	open	—	01-01 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$6	104	4	+100	Up	+$2	05-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$2	37	4	+33	open	—	04-28 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	6	3	+3	open	—	04-28 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-18 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 08:25:24	btc updown 5m 1780647900	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0a82ca…
05-20 15:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x48ed9e…
05-20 15:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x3441a1…
05-20 15:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x24da1a…
05-20 15:22:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc3143…
05-20 15:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f6a81…
05-20 13:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc19d5f…
05-20 10:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7d2e26…
05-20 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x056fd9…
05-20 07:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x502393…
05-20 07:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd27687…
05-20 07:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9c37fe…
05-20 07:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb8d187…
05-20 06:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x6a43a8…
05-19 19:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x2736c6…
05-19 19:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xb1a42c…
05-19 18:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7ad688…
05-19 18:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xaa9017…
05-19 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb07043…
05-19 14:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x580ff6…
05-19 10:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2d115a…
05-19 10:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x6bf612…
05-19 09:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xfb2669…
05-19 09:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x61709d…
05-19 09:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2f4de4…
05-19 09:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x8aeed0…
05-19 08:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x863662…
05-19 08:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$2	0x96a517…
05-19 08:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x6c399e…
05-19 08:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x5ad4b3…
05-19 08:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x80315c…
05-19 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x697790…
05-19 08:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x4869b4…
05-19 08:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x527cbd…
05-19 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x91b638…
05-18 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb1f8ba…
05-18 16:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x255ad1…
05-18 15:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x6c3aaf…
05-18 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcf13d1…
05-18 15:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x129c46…
05-18 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb68747…
05-18 12:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd4b85b…
05-18 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3dc5c9…
05-18 11:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x200b73…
05-18 11:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x75bf7a…
05-18 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xee433e…
05-18 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa3b4fa…
05-18 09:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x81a261…
05-18 09:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x476987…
05-18 08:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd75892…
05-18 07:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x410b98…
05-14 14:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5890e7…
05-14 14:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x30d3dd…
05-14 09:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbd9e4b…
05-13 07:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1dc152…
05-08 08:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa01206…
05-07 16:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x73e743…
05-07 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcd85f6…
05-07 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc607dc…
05-07 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc20092…
05-07 13:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9a8ca2…
05-07 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd2fd04…
05-07 12:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3fb790…
05-07 12:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x94d7af…
05-07 12:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9f9840…
05-07 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbfbe33…
05-07 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x3b272a…
05-07 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x28a77e…
05-07 11:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x03400d…
05-07 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb40b6f…
05-07 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb039d3…
05-07 11:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc622f3…
05-07 11:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x29c4ba…
05-07 11:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3d522d…
05-07 11:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe7cf53…
05-07 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7ca1ac…
05-07 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2675c1…
05-07 11:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x602322…
05-07 11:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x092192…
05-07 11:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x87224c…
05-07 11:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x7e54fd…
05-07 11:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5bef05…
05-06 20:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe72c07…
05-06 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xc58067…
05-06 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeb8076…
05-06 20:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbc2efc…
05-06 18:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb54565…
05-06 18:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x606fe4…
05-06 18:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb22b74…
05-06 18:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6f3b71…
05-06 17:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe3f6f3…
05-06 17:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7cf463…
05-06 17:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x649f0f…
05-06 17:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x66a8de…
05-06 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc46b5f…
05-06 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc93771…
05-06 16:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66a1e6…
05-06 16:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3b207a…
05-06 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xafc5e5…
05-06 07:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfd2742…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	103	$84.5K	10,254	06-05 08:29
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	103	$35.1K	5,377	06-05 08:29
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	103	$30.1K	8,298	06-05 08:29
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	103	$20.5K	3,502	06-05 08:27
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	102	$30.6K	4,587	06-05 08:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	102	$29.6K	8,171	06-05 08:29
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	101	$100.9K	4,282	06-05 08:29
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	101	$26.4K	959	06-05 08:28