Baggy-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-04 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Other

25% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	06-01 02:14
bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	06-04 09:17
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-13 03:28
bitcoin above 82k on january 5	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-04 03:34
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-05 11:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-01 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	05-25 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-12 08:39
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-22 03:36
ethereum above 2300 on march 3	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	03-03 08:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-21 09:40
bitcoin above 58k on march 16	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-14 03:28
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-28 07:21
bitcoin above 84k on january 9	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	01-09 02:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-09 06:32
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-18 03:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	02-26 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-06 06:26
ethereum above 1800 on march 8	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	03-08 11:20
bitcoin above 78k on february 11	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	02-10 08:31
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	02-04 01:25
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	01-26 06:46
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	04-10 09:19
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	01-30 11:05
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-25 05:25
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-20 06:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-15 02:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-28 09:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 27	1	$4	1,800	+1,800	open	—	01-26 06:27
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-20 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 09:17:21	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x3d2223…
06-01 02:14:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xdaba13…
05-25 09:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xfda483…
05-12 08:39:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xeb093f…
05-09 06:32:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x62ece6…
05-06 06:26:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x123a05…
04-28 09:51:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xca44b5…
04-25 05:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x2957a4…
04-20 06:54:40	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x224354…
04-20 06:54:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6de8e1…
04-20 06:54:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95c795…
04-15 02:44:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x5a2987…
04-15 02:44:22	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ba110…
04-15 02:44:14	will skyview be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41295f…
04-10 09:19:23	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3987a4…
04-10 09:19:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x48b664…
04-10 09:18:49	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb69250…
04-10 09:18:39	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78e2b1…
04-05 11:07:31	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa8ddb4…
04-01 06:51:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9c1c9d…
03-28 07:21:39	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x63312f…
03-21 09:40:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xacd7dd…
03-18 03:50:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb8cd11…
03-14 03:28:23	bitcoin above 58k on march 16	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x28e4fd…
03-08 11:20:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xe699d4…
03-08 11:20:03	highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb51094…
03-08 11:19:51	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b0619…
03-03 08:30:21	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xfe5cda…
02-26 09:07:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xd6c9f9…
02-10 08:31:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 11	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x623a2c…
02-10 08:31:13	ethereum above 2300 on february 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x209764…
02-04 01:25:28	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x33033c…
02-04 01:25:16	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43b63d…
02-04 01:25:06	will ankimobile flashcards be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c2851…
01-30 11:05:18	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe996fa…
01-26 06:46:26	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1d8dc4…
01-26 06:27:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0xe4f0ad…
01-22 03:36:22	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x417e34…
01-13 03:28:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3c0c2f…
01-09 02:42:06	bitcoin above 84k on january 9	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xcb54f9…
01-09 02:41:56	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94a30c…
01-09 02:41:14	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b0452…
01-04 03:34:13	bitcoin above 82k on january 5	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3cdc62…
01-04 03:33:57	will board game stats be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f14ce…
01-04 03:33:39	highest temperature in london on january 4 5corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb78ec5…