Formal-Flight-Infiltration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$270

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-270

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$200	2,660	0	+2,660	Down	$-200	05-10 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$171	282	128	+154	Up	$-9	05-10 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$169	126	126	+0	Down	+$81	05-10 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$151	1,089	89	+1,000	Up	+$20	05-10 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$149	233	115	+118	Up	$-10	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$145	104	104	+0	Down	+$45	05-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$133	128	128	+0	Down	+$13	05-11 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$132	159	159	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$119	70	70	+0	Down	+$19	05-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$101	100	100	+0	Up	+$41	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$79	342	0	+342	Up	$-79	05-10 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$65	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$58	157	157	+0	Down	$-42	05-10 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$52	60	43	+17	Down	+$12	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$50	250	0	+250	Up	$-50	05-10 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$50	152	0	+152	Down	+$102	05-10 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$50	264	0	+264	Up	$-50	05-10 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$45	39	39	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$41	209	0	+209	Up	$-41	05-11 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$40	182	0	+182	Down	$-40	05-10 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$40	71	0	+71	Up	$-40	05-10 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$20	71	0	+71	Down	$-20	05-10 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-10	05-11 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$10	91	0	+91	Up	$-10	05-11 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$10	18	10	+8	Up	$-0	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	Down	$-7	05-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Up	$-5	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	229	0	+229	Up	$-5	05-10 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-11 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0aeec0…
05-11 16:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8ce77e…
05-11 16:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f6b43…
05-11 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xea81c4…
05-11 10:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xdea2cc…
05-11 10:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xb3a427…
05-11 10:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xee9fa6…
05-11 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xe1a1f1…
05-11 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xa6aeff…
05-11 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x753cd9…
05-11 09:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	55	64¢	$35	0xee5f15…
05-11 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x206375…
05-11 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	61	58¢	$36	0xc399bd…
05-11 09:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x5298bb…
05-11 09:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	67	56¢	$38	0x240045…
05-11 09:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xaa1841…
05-11 09:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	91	39¢	$35	0x6f1aba…
05-11 09:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x65ca3f…
05-11 09:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	68	54¢	$37	0x89e251…
05-11 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xa13edb…
05-11 09:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x14d695…
05-11 09:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x324658…
05-11 09:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb1879c…
05-11 09:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x1cfc22…
05-11 09:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf27f80…
05-10 23:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd98239…
05-10 22:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xb807f4…
05-10 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x498319…
05-10 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xcdc012…
05-10 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xd69316…
05-10 22:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xbfaa17…
05-10 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x61bf5c…
05-10 22:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	74¢	$32	0x981b1b…
05-10 22:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xc8c48e…
05-10 22:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x1740ce…
05-10 22:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xd4e2ec…
05-10 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x3cfe5d…
05-10 22:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	128	63¢	$81	0x55d672…
05-10 22:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x791c19…
05-10 22:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xd7cd5c…
05-10 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xe46851…
05-10 22:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	115	60¢	$69	0xde2563…
05-10 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	115	34¢	$39	0x18abd8…
05-10 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	229	2¢	$5	0x1e2ed8…
05-10 22:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdf1120…
05-10 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0xef3d42…
05-10 22:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0x086d01…
05-10 22:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	264	19¢	$50	0xa11eb2…
05-10 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x71c538…
05-10 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa95076…
05-10 21:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	104	92¢	$95	0xb74678…
05-10 21:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x98401c…
05-10 18:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xdd53f6…
05-10 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x197b38…
05-10 17:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	157	5¢	$8	0xe5fec9…
05-10 17:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x7314a4…
05-10 17:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x43dd55…
05-10 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x61d98a…
05-10 17:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	126	35¢	$44	0x469bc5…
05-10 17:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	342	23¢	$79	0x19c7ee…
05-10 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	896	5¢	$43	0xf01e57…
05-10 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,750	9¢	$155	0xefa1bb…
05-10 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x22f317…