Fumbling-Disposal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$310

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 42% +$73

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$73	49	49	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$25	71	0	+71	Down	+$46	05-06 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$22	54	9	+45	Up	$-8	05-08 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$17	82	0	+82	open	—	05-04 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$15	83	0	+83	open	—	05-04 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Up	+$24	05-06 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Up	$-10	05-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$10	103	0	+103	open	—	05-04 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$10	92	0	+92	open	—	05-04 18:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-06 16:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-06 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 16:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$6	69	69	+0	open	—	05-06 16:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$6	728	728	+0	open	—	05-08 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	+$11	05-06 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Up	$-5	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-06 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	05-06 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-06 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 18:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 17:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	05-08 12:48
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	6	$3	174	0	+174	open	—	05-05 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	$-3	05-05 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:48:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x296883…
05-08 12:48:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	728	0¢	$2	0x226e93…
05-08 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x423d0e…
05-08 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x6b90a5…
05-08 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x087d40…
05-06 19:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x224ac4…
05-06 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x579676…
05-06 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8108ad…
05-06 19:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x057fe1…
05-06 19:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x7a9717…
05-06 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe03179…
05-06 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb2c1a2…
05-06 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb1d6c1…
05-06 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf2cccb…
05-06 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe22e67…
05-06 16:50:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x2b5b97…
05-06 16:50:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x9a41fd…
05-06 16:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x8eb90f…
05-06 16:49:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe1db0f…
05-05 19:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	361	1¢	$2	0xa9ff9b…
05-05 19:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,163	0¢	$2	0xc1919b…
05-05 19:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,163	0¢	$2	0xadef95…
05-05 19:15:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,163	0¢	$2	0x0cd17c…
05-05 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xaa6b4e…
05-05 17:05:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x849982…
05-05 17:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd9ebef…
05-05 14:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc02cb1…
05-05 07:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3ec01c…
05-05 03:59:14	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9a8b3c…
05-05 03:59:00	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9b0580…
05-05 03:58:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfb8f56…
05-05 03:58:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x05d1ab…
05-05 03:57:42	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xe0017b…
05-05 03:57:38	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x01b54c…
05-04 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8a9388…
05-04 18:57:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x127f89…
05-04 18:57:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$4	0xc060fb…
05-04 18:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8d1765…
05-04 18:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6bdec1…
05-04 18:57:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x1dbf8c…
05-04 18:57:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	728	0¢	$4	0xfdc285…
05-04 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x697d82…
05-04 18:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf42b47…
05-04 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xf6517b…
05-04 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xac546e…
05-04 18:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xab5f85…
05-04 18:34:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb7ac7d…
05-04 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe42177…
05-04 18:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x667ef5…
05-04 18:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xeba3b2…
05-04 18:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x190f3f…
05-04 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x93ee0d…
05-03 13:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd457ab…
04-30 18:28:24	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x5dca3e…
04-30 18:25:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x047f39…
04-30 17:21:36	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xecf870…