Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.27K

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

7,918

Trades

53,843

lifetime

Volume

$555.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$19.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-26 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

93% 39% -$19,222

Politics

5% 30% -$502

Tech

1% 33% -$98

Sports

0% 29% -$27

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$13

Crypto

0% 0% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 2262 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5,174	$2,607	55¢	$2.8K	+$221	10-19 22:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+2,965	$2,144	86¢	$2.5K	+$406	10-19 22:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5,174	$2,584	45¢	$2.3K	-$238	10-20 13:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	+1,472	$1,235	93¢	$1.4K	+$134	10-15 16:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+1,000	$738	83¢	$830	+$92	10-19 18:15
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+800	$260	88¢	$704	+$444	10-19 09:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+756	$663	92¢	$699	+$36	10-15 01:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+896	$540	77¢	$690	+$150	10-15 10:20
us iran hormuz agreement by november 2	No	+729	$628	94¢	$686	+$58	10-15 06:34
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+634	$508	99¢	$626	+$117	10-13 18:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+509	$490	96¢	$491	+$1	10-24 01:50
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	+562	$270	84¢	$472	+$202	10-20 05:17
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+733	$183	63¢	$465	+$282	10-13 14:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	No	+600	$441	76¢	$456	+$15	10-14 20:33
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+609	$409	74¢	$454	+$45	10-16 10:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+2,963	$843	14¢	$415	-$428	10-19 22:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+600	$304	62¢	$369	+$65	10-04 07:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+398	$350	88¢	$352	+$2	10-14 04:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+403	$283	70¢	$280	-$4	10-19 15:54
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	+282	$256	98¢	$277	+$21	10-15 06:41
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+372	$276	74¢	$276	$0	10-11 21:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+422	$88	64¢	$269	+$181	10-12 20:56
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	+733	$574	37¢	$268	-$306	10-13 21:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+400	$266	66¢	$266	+$0	10-14 12:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+493	$249	53¢	$262	+$12	10-19 05:04
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+400	$261	63¢	$252	-$9	10-12 12:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	+493	$269	47¢	$232	-$37	10-21 13:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+234	$213	98¢	$231	+$18	10-21 18:08
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by november 30	Yes	+400	$250	54¢	$216	-$34	10-14 11:37
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by october 31	Yes	+896	$377	23¢	$206	-$171	10-14 23:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	63	$5.2K	10,348	0	+10,348	open	—	10-20 13:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	40	$3.0K	5,927	0	+5,927	open	—	10-19 22:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	38	$1.8K	3,600	0	+3,600	Yes	-$10	10-17 13:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	34	$1.6K	3,108	0	+3,108	Yes	-$46	10-20 07:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	23	$1.5K	2,943	0	+2,943	open	—	10-15 16:24
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	16	$1.1K	2,251	0	+2,251	Mbappé	-$6	10-19 23:39
iran oman hormuz agreement by november 30	11	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-19 18:15
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by october 31	12	$917	1,792	0	+1,792	open	—	10-15 10:20
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	11	$820	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	10-20 17:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	15	$767	1,512	0	+1,512	open	—	10-15 03:27
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	22	$757	1,467	0	+1,467	open	—	10-13 21:34
us iran hormuz agreement by november 2	12	$738	1,458	0	+1,458	open	—	10-15 06:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5?	49	$713	1,381	0	+1,381	Up	+$25	10-05 12:40
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	43	$686	1,291	0	+1,291	Yes	-$20	10-18 09:55
katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	14	$682	1,352	0	+1,352	Yes	-$6	10-14 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14?	28	$670	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$84	09-14 15:32
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	18	$635	1,268	0	+1,268	open	—	10-13 18:27
iran oman hormuz agreement by december 31	11	$629	1,219	0	+1,219	open	—	10-16 10:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	59	$621	1,223	0	+1,223	Yes	-$10	09-22 08:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	8	$601	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	10-15 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	50	$600	1,150	0	+1,150	Yes	-$124	09-19 04:10
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	37	$597	937	239	+699	Yes	-$16	09-12 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	21	$592	1,197	0	+1,197	No	+$6	09-19 09:22
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	43	$587	1,140	0	+1,140	No	-$17	10-18 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?	26	$587	1,120	0	+1,120	Yes	-$27	09-16 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	40	$585	1,140	0	+1,140	Yes	-$34	10-22 00:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	50	$585	1,156	0	+1,156	Yes	-$6	09-19 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 14?	14	$579	1,040	0	+1,040	No	-$59	09-14 17:45
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$572	1,142	0	+1,142	Yes	-$1	10-20 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?	19	$562	1,058	0	+1,058	No	-$33	09-16 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1e7eae…
10-27 01:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xa7e11f…
10-27 01:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x6765ac…
10-27 01:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x57f84c…
10-27 01:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x240382…
10-27 01:10:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xfa44d5…
10-27 01:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x382dbe…
10-27 01:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x202715…
10-27 01:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x280f28…
10-27 01:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x05d5b8…
10-27 01:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x4fe6b7…
10-27 01:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x970e21…
10-27 01:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe4e6c9…
10-27 01:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd97f66…
10-27 01:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xaf6f33…
10-27 01:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x684f59…
10-27 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xad5b08…
10-27 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63d4c1…
10-27 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0e483c…
10-27 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x08afc9…
10-27 01:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9a8885…
10-27 01:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x96acef…
10-27 01:06:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x6281c8…
10-27 01:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x4b5d41…
10-27 01:04:09	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe97477…
10-27 01:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcc3064…
10-27 01:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xa20c70…
10-27 01:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0xd1bc33…
10-27 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5e9073…
10-27 01:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x10f501…
10-27 00:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x86f280…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd71404…
10-27 00:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0eb0e0…
10-27 00:52:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x171bca…
10-27 00:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5499d8…
10-27 00:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfeec25…
10-27 00:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xef67d2…
10-27 00:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7e913f…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xda8598…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x68f54d…
10-27 00:47:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	39	42¢	$16	0xae12bd…
10-27 00:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x55ed94…
10-27 00:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x193aaf…
10-27 00:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xe9d04c…
10-27 00:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 27?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x01aa31…
10-27 00:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xdb2817…
10-27 00:45:21	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0c2b85…
10-27 00:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5dddca…
10-27 00:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x5c5acd…
10-27 00:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4da633…
10-27 00:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4c9ee3…
10-27 00:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xdeb6b1…
10-27 00:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xd4cbed…
10-27 00:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x6633f7…
10-27 00:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x335aa9…
10-27 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xea905e…
10-27 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6a0c3a…
10-27 00:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xa112da…
10-27 00:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xdc4b06…
10-27 00:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x5ce256…
10-27 00:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x0cc432…
10-27 00:35:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x487fc8…
10-27 00:35:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xf17b70…
10-27 00:35:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xd88d19…
10-27 00:35:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd84bb2…
10-27 00:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xd8a7c9…
10-27 00:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe25b8d…
10-27 00:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xe66d57…
10-27 00:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x5f266a…
10-27 00:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x256fb9…
10-27 00:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8d0e43…
10-27 00:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x07eefa…
10-27 00:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x04aeec…
10-27 00:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xfe889e…
10-27 00:25:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xd12c06…
10-27 00:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xdf8033…
10-27 00:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa6535f…
10-27 00:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4c8220…
10-27 00:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x32a013…
10-27 00:22:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x4289e2…
10-27 00:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf6d278…
10-27 00:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdf27dd…
10-27 00:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x64014d…
10-27 00:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x03f28e…
10-27 00:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd4bea2…
10-27 00:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb50c93…
10-27 00:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b76a2…
10-27 00:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0xa1b8e8…
10-27 00:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1f884a…
10-27 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8b976e…
10-27 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x00d138…
10-27 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4db6eb…
10-27 00:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	48	78¢	$37	0xb14573…
10-27 00:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x929db8…
10-27 00:11:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x84997a…
10-27 00:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xd0e0bb…
10-27 00:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xc201bf…
10-27 00:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x81e0e3…
10-27 00:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x3c6f69…
10-27 00:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x26e434…