Rosy-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-05 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 25% $-4

Other

13% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776102000	4	$112	77	74	+3	open	—	04-13 17:45
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	2	$110	175	175	+0	open	—	06-30 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$59	68	65	+3	open	—	04-25 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$47	37	37	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$40	26	26	+1	open	—	04-25 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$37	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 15:45
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	2	$34	84	84	+0	open	—	06-30 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$33	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776101700	6	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776105900	6	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$32	107	24	+83	open	—	05-01 15:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$29	66	9	+56	open	—	04-12 21:49
btc updown 5m 1782836100	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	06-30 16:20
btc updown 5m 1776801300	4	$27	26	25	+1	open	—	04-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$25	25	24	+1	open	—	04-25 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$24	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$23	35	33	+1	open	—	04-26 16:01
btc updown 5m 1776104400	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$19	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$19	96	10	+86	Up	$-3	05-07 11:39
btc updown 5m 1783289100	3	$19	512	12	+500	open	—	07-05 22:10
btc updown 5m 1776193800	4	$19	15	15	+1	open	—	04-14 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$16	33	33	+0	open	—	04-28 21:44
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$15	129	129	+0	open	—	06-21 19:01
btc updown 5m 1776081600	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$15	17	17	+1	open	—	04-25 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776022500	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776115200	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 18:26
btc updown 5m 1776103500	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 22:10:05	btc updown 5m 1783289100	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8855fc…
07-05 22:09:07	btc updown 5m 1783289100	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x7ede68…
07-05 22:06:56	btc updown 5m 1783289100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x114ecc…
06-30 21:51:34	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	Under	SELL	84	3¢	$3	0x403ea5…
06-30 21:25:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0xeb3ff4…
06-30 21:24:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	175	23¢	$40	0xec63a0…
06-30 16:30:04	btc updown 5m 1782836700	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfc200b…
06-30 16:29:08	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0x880b3f…
06-30 16:20:16	btc updown 5m 1782836100	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3d5ef4…
06-30 16:19:50	btc updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd2aba1…
06-26 19:35:29	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xb46913…
06-21 19:01:52	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	129	4¢	$5	0x59927d…
06-16 22:50:40	btc updown 5m 1781650200	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x0e0463…
06-16 22:50:07	btc updown 5m 1781650200	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe9fb34…
06-16 22:49:35	btc updown 5m 1781649900	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x8b1492…
06-16 22:48:01	btc updown 5m 1781649900	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3f83a0…
06-16 22:47:31	btc updown 5m 1781649900	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x25ac25…
06-16 22:45:28	btc updown 5m 1781649900	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2cc43b…
06-16 22:42:07	btc updown 5m 1781649600	Down	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xfa73d2…
06-16 22:41:14	btc updown 5m 1781649600	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xd7d348…
06-16 20:55:49	btc updown 5m 1781643300	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x9c0cd5…
06-16 20:55:32	btc updown 5m 1781643300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf74ff5…
06-16 07:28:00	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x082fee…
06-15 18:11:24	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xeeabb0…
06-15 17:58:55	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x572390…
05-12 21:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37a691…
05-09 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x85eb2b…
05-09 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xb3d517…
05-07 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x5aec32…
05-07 11:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xd622a2…
05-07 11:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf605a4…
05-07 11:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x369c32…
05-07 11:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40e7a1…
05-01 15:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0x46304d…
05-01 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x2ba506…
05-01 15:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x18428c…
05-01 15:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5182f5…
05-01 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xa40449…
05-01 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x32f7a4…
05-01 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x37cac2…
05-01 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xf5b4f3…
05-01 15:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x000862…
05-01 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07c37b…
04-29 21:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe88939…
04-29 21:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x15c622…
04-29 21:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x656447…
04-29 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb6f4de…
04-28 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x4fee72…
04-28 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xda6341…
04-28 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x4acfdf…
04-28 18:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf48250…
04-28 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xb13d2b…
04-28 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeb1ecd…
04-26 16:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xd3a0aa…
04-26 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x198dc9…
04-26 15:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9b5ea4…
04-25 18:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	65	45¢	$29	0xfb3057…
04-25 18:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x9fe2bd…
04-25 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd9b5e1…
04-25 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8d3612…
04-25 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x5daf3f…
04-25 17:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcb12a7…
04-25 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x3e73c7…
04-25 17:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa4a5c7…
04-25 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x018387…
04-25 17:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2bbda…
04-25 17:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x95306f…
04-25 17:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04e66d…
04-25 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xac33f3…
04-25 16:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x05a623…
04-25 16:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x6279fc…
04-25 16:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x175b4d…
04-21 19:59:06	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x070707…
04-21 19:57:22	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa8e4d3…
04-21 19:55:48	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0x8bf6e5…
04-21 19:55:36	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x31d106…
04-18 12:17:34	btc updown 5m 1776514500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd1baa2…
04-16 20:07:12	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x380161…
04-16 20:06:38	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7a1058…
04-16 20:03:58	btc updown 5m 1776369600	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x0239c6…
04-16 20:03:16	btc updown 5m 1776369600	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7bcfe7…
04-14 20:21:56	btc updown 5m 1776198000	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xcb99ea…
04-14 20:20:18	btc updown 5m 1776198000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97ade9…
04-14 19:38:58	btc updown 5m 1776195300	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x973f34…
04-14 19:38:10	btc updown 5m 1776195300	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d840d…
04-14 19:21:24	btc updown 5m 1776194400	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x0a22ad…
04-14 19:20:18	btc updown 5m 1776194400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa62c84…
04-14 19:15:52	btc updown 5m 1776194100	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x1a5ed2…
04-14 19:15:16	btc updown 5m 1776194100	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xee7414…
04-14 19:14:24	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfbda54…
04-14 19:13:16	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc530e2…
04-14 19:12:50	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xba9f2b…
04-14 19:11:08	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0577a3…
04-13 21:28:55	btc updown 5m 1776115500	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x880a42…
04-13 21:25:17	btc updown 5m 1776115500	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4e3702…
04-13 21:24:23	btc updown 5m 1776115200	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x8c1450…
04-13 21:23:45	btc updown 5m 1776115200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe7c77e…
04-13 18:53:15	btc updown 5m 1776106200	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xb1b288…
04-13 18:51:05	btc updown 5m 1776106200	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe024f8…
04-13 18:49:57	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x568a30…