Rosy-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$901

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-12 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 25% $-4

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776102000	4	$112	77	74	+3	open	—	04-13 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$59	68	65	+3	open	—	04-25 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$47	37	37	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$40	26	26	+1	open	—	04-25 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$37	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$33	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776101700	6	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776105900	6	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$32	107	24	+83	open	—	05-01 15:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$29	66	9	+56	open	—	04-12 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776801300	4	$27	26	25	+1	open	—	04-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$25	25	24	+1	open	—	04-25 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$24	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$23	35	33	+1	open	—	04-26 16:01
btc updown 5m 1776104400	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$19	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$19	96	10	+86	Up	$-3	05-07 11:39
btc updown 5m 1776193800	4	$19	15	15	+1	open	—	04-14 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$16	33	33	+0	open	—	04-28 21:44
btc updown 5m 1776081600	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$15	17	17	+1	open	—	04-25 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776022500	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776115200	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 18:26
btc updown 5m 1776103500	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 18:08
btc updown 5m 1776369900	2	$12	11	10	+0	open	—	04-16 20:07
btc updown 5m 1776106200	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 18:53
btc updown 5m 1776194100	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-14 19:15
btc updown 5m 1776022800	2	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	04-12 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776194400	2	$8	12	11	+0	open	—	04-14 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37a691…
05-09 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x85eb2b…
05-09 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xb3d517…
05-07 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x5aec32…
05-07 11:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xd622a2…
05-07 11:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf605a4…
05-07 11:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x369c32…
05-07 11:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40e7a1…
05-01 15:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0x46304d…
05-01 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x2ba506…
05-01 15:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x18428c…
05-01 15:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5182f5…
05-01 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xa40449…
05-01 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x32f7a4…
05-01 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x37cac2…
05-01 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xf5b4f3…
05-01 15:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x000862…
05-01 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07c37b…
04-29 21:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe88939…
04-29 21:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x15c622…
04-29 21:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x656447…
04-29 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb6f4de…
04-28 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x4fee72…
04-28 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xda6341…
04-28 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x4acfdf…
04-28 18:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf48250…
04-28 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xb13d2b…
04-28 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeb1ecd…
04-26 16:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xd3a0aa…
04-26 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x198dc9…
04-26 15:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9b5ea4…
04-25 18:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	65	45¢	$29	0xfb3057…
04-25 18:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x9fe2bd…
04-25 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd9b5e1…
04-25 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8d3612…
04-25 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x5daf3f…
04-25 17:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcb12a7…
04-25 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x3e73c7…
04-25 17:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa4a5c7…
04-25 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x018387…
04-25 17:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2bbda…
04-25 17:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x95306f…
04-25 17:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04e66d…
04-25 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xac33f3…
04-25 16:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x05a623…
04-25 16:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x6279fc…
04-25 16:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x175b4d…
04-21 19:59:06	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x070707…
04-21 19:57:22	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa8e4d3…
04-21 19:55:48	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0x8bf6e5…
04-21 19:55:36	btc updown 5m 1776801300	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x31d106…
04-18 12:17:34	btc updown 5m 1776514500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd1baa2…
04-16 20:07:12	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x380161…
04-16 20:06:38	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7a1058…
04-16 20:03:58	btc updown 5m 1776369600	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x0239c6…
04-16 20:03:16	btc updown 5m 1776369600	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7bcfe7…
04-14 20:21:56	btc updown 5m 1776198000	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xcb99ea…
04-14 20:20:18	btc updown 5m 1776198000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97ade9…
04-14 19:38:58	btc updown 5m 1776195300	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x973f34…
04-14 19:38:10	btc updown 5m 1776195300	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d840d…
04-14 19:21:24	btc updown 5m 1776194400	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x0a22ad…
04-14 19:20:18	btc updown 5m 1776194400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa62c84…
04-14 19:15:52	btc updown 5m 1776194100	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x1a5ed2…
04-14 19:15:16	btc updown 5m 1776194100	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xee7414…
04-14 19:14:24	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfbda54…
04-14 19:13:16	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc530e2…
04-14 19:12:50	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xba9f2b…
04-14 19:11:08	btc updown 5m 1776193800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0577a3…
04-13 21:28:55	btc updown 5m 1776115500	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x880a42…
04-13 21:25:17	btc updown 5m 1776115500	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4e3702…
04-13 21:24:23	btc updown 5m 1776115200	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x8c1450…
04-13 21:23:45	btc updown 5m 1776115200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe7c77e…
04-13 18:53:15	btc updown 5m 1776106200	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xb1b288…
04-13 18:51:05	btc updown 5m 1776106200	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe024f8…
04-13 18:49:57	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x568a30…
04-13 18:49:05	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xae91b3…
04-13 18:48:19	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x396042…
04-13 18:46:37	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x84fd88…
04-13 18:45:59	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x0a65df…
04-13 18:45:31	btc updown 5m 1776105900	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x32c83d…
04-13 18:25:25	btc updown 5m 1776104700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd801f9…
04-13 18:24:29	btc updown 5m 1776104400	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x55a76f…
04-13 18:24:07	btc updown 5m 1776104400	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfa296f…
04-13 18:08:45	btc updown 5m 1776103500	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xfdb3b6…
04-13 18:07:41	btc updown 5m 1776103500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x428f18…
04-13 17:45:13	btc updown 5m 1776102000	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x5d2a71…
04-13 17:44:49	btc updown 5m 1776102000	Up	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xd21432…
04-13 17:42:41	btc updown 5m 1776102000	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x4690d9…
04-13 17:40:49	btc updown 5m 1776102000	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x354fb7…
04-13 17:40:11	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x519a26…
04-13 17:39:17	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8b986d…
04-13 17:38:15	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xbafe76…
04-13 17:38:05	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2667c6…
04-13 17:36:09	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x2375f0…
04-13 17:35:27	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x034623…
04-13 13:53:05	btc updown 5m 1776088200	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x47ec7f…
04-13 13:50:21	btc updown 5m 1776088200	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x75f8d0…
04-13 13:45:41	btc updown 5m 1776087900	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x283340…
04-13 13:25:09	btc updown 5m 1776086400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8e8cd…
04-13 13:24:13	btc updown 5m 1776086400	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e4ef9…