Marvelous-Writer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-24 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-0

Sports

36% 100% +$0

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	04-14 22:14
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	04-03 03:18
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	4	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	04-24 08:24
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	04-19 12:08
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 05:37
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	03-25 17:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	03-15 19:55
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-23 20:25
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	04-02 04:39
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$144	72	72	+0	No	+$0	04-15 05:36
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	02-11 23:00
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$144	72	72	+0	No	$-0	04-03 08:20
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-25 10:53
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-19 15:36
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	03-31 02:09
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	03-26 06:36
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	04-11 23:18
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-12 04:05
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	02-13 19:12
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	02-15 22:26
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-05 20:06
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	02-13 03:23
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-17 16:43
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-01 16:45
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	02-14 13:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-21 17:47
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	03-30 03:26
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	03-14 06:43
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	04-16 21:24
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-12 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 08:24:40	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xb61938…
04-24 06:08:46	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xbaf062…
04-21 17:47:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xad7ace…
04-21 05:49:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5b229c…
04-19 12:08:04	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xbf0899…
04-19 06:44:54	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0f3530…
04-16 21:24:30	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x975f1e…
04-16 18:53:24	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xeb5ca5…
04-16 12:06:30	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x8ef20b…
04-16 02:03:44	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4d8ef3…
04-15 05:36:30	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x37aa1a…
04-15 01:58:42	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x7db703…
04-14 22:14:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x753a5b…
04-14 19:40:38	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xcfe832…
04-12 04:05:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xd51c74…
04-12 01:45:23	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x2f88d8…
04-11 23:18:53	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x98aa1c…
04-11 18:25:17	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x4465eb…
04-08 11:21:29	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0xa665fa…
04-08 03:56:27	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x6ced22…
04-07 05:37:25	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x9ddf05…
04-06 21:40:49	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xb3e18b…
04-03 08:20:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xe4b5ea…
04-03 03:19:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb74f33…
04-03 03:18:45	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x18d4be…
04-02 22:43:41	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x29320c…
04-02 04:39:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xd986e0…
04-02 02:15:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x79f220…
04-01 23:37:21	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x6db407…
04-01 18:37:41	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc53e1d…
04-01 01:55:57	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x097ba8…
03-31 21:58:45	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa605dc…
03-31 15:20:21	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc14327…
03-31 11:32:09	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x663463…
03-31 02:09:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xb0e3d3…
03-30 22:41:51	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x48c7be…
03-30 03:26:52	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd32375…
03-29 23:33:08	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x683d2a…
03-26 06:36:07	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xa6e254…
03-26 00:02:59	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7a8908…
03-25 17:20:43	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xa99a19…
03-25 14:37:07	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xda3de0…
03-25 10:53:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x8995cd…
03-25 04:30:07	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x41f897…
03-23 20:25:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xbb5977…
03-23 13:57:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbafc10…
03-23 07:31:21	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc0b93b…
03-23 01:04:53	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x78c2ac…
03-19 15:36:17	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x66870d…
03-19 07:52:51	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xe96bcc…
03-17 16:43:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x84d0a2…
03-16 19:06:03	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3d8950…
03-15 19:55:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x2d9748…
03-15 04:36:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x251eaf…
03-14 06:43:31	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xa1d304…
03-14 00:37:37	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x1aa4e5…
03-12 22:31:15	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x879cae…
03-12 22:30:43	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Mavericks	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x896399…
03-12 22:30:25	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x194882…
03-12 17:17:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x92d986…
03-12 02:04:51	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x09ee0e…
03-11 17:05:45	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xcc2f7a…
03-10 18:40:09	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Warriors	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xa97a42…
03-10 18:39:43	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0xe0a969…
03-08 21:12:55	nba orl mil 2026 03 08	Magic	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x09d4ac…
03-08 21:12:27	nba det mia 2026 03 08	Heat	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x558259…
03-05 20:06:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xe62fd8…
03-05 13:15:59	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xdc28e1…
03-04 20:18:13	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	54	86¢	$46	0xea79fe…
03-03 23:55:59	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x2593e1…
03-03 13:42:39	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x5365f0…
03-01 16:45:39	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc1d529…
03-01 04:47:57	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4a5ec1…
02-28 18:07:15	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xab591f…
02-28 04:24:59	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x772739…
02-27 21:25:03	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xd5e2b7…
02-27 14:15:43	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x48d67f…
02-26 13:28:10	nba por chi 2026 02 26	Bulls	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xbb11b9…
02-25 07:34:48	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x31c605…
02-22 23:24:08	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2542fb…
02-17 20:26:23	Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x620d3b…
02-15 22:26:21	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xb33802…
02-15 03:00:23	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb53ea8…
02-14 13:37:13	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xdddccf…
02-13 19:13:17	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x19df8f…
02-13 19:12:59	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xb28ea4…
02-13 06:54:05	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x9bb67c…
02-13 03:23:59	Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x43a350…
02-12 09:36:15	Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x653051…
02-11 23:00:49	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xd6ffd7…
02-11 10:49:11	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x21338c…
02-09 09:35:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe84d47…