Self-Reliant-Membrane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-03 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-32

Politics

24% 50% $-37

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$1.1K	2,113	0	+2,113	open	—	03-22 17:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$132	299	299	+0	No	$-37	05-08 16:11
Will Trump dance today?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 08:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$52	19	36	-17	open	—	04-27 00:45
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$35	14,869	0	+14,869	open	—	03-24 23:47
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?	3	$35	35	2	+33	open	—	04-30 23:41
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$32	102	0	+102	Yes	$-32	05-01 09:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$31	3,132	0	+3,132	open	—	04-07 23:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$26	8,000	7,050	+950	open	—	04-30 23:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 24	2	$24	54	53	+1	open	—	03-24 12:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 11:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$18	22	6	+16	open	—	04-20 19:19
btc updown 5m 1774308300	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-23 23:26
btc updown 5m 1774308900	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-23 23:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 19:00
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 08:29
btc updown 5m 1774307700	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-23 23:18
btc updown 5m 1774307400	1	$9	29	0	+29	open	—	03-23 23:12
btc updown 5m 1774306500	1	$9	32	0	+32	open	—	03-23 22:57
btc updown 5m 1774354800	1	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 12:24
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-13 08:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	2	$7	2,333	0	+2,333	open	—	03-23 23:47
will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-19 17:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-30 23:04
btc updown 5m 1774309200	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 23:40
btc updown 5m 1774308600	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	03-23 23:33
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	1	$5	226	0	+226	open	—	03-26 13:23
btc updown 5m 1774308000	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	03-23 23:20
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-26 13:15
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	03-30 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:35:16	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x39d2aa…
05-11 08:29:10	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8e2a40…
05-09 16:14:39	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x620cba…
05-08 16:11:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	249	2¢	$5	0x6471c0…
05-07 21:29:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	249	17¢	$42	0xf1993d…
05-07 21:24:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0x4f23e2…
05-05 18:05:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x243a0a…
05-01 09:36:54	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	32¢	$32	0xe8475c…
04-30 23:42:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	950	0¢	$2	0x8ef01b…
04-30 23:41:38	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3ae2a3…
04-30 15:11:06	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaebd1b…
04-30 15:10:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7,050	0¢	$7	0x8e01c0…
04-28 08:22:56	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x04de57…
04-28 08:22:02	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x863a5d…
04-27 00:47:58	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x820c38…
04-27 00:47:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x811afb…
04-27 00:45:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x66e411…
04-26 11:10:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd7e6a5…
04-23 11:43:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x931e60…
04-23 11:41:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe694eb…
04-22 11:27:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8f708a…
04-20 19:19:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	9	76¢	$6	0xdf7cc5…
04-19 19:57:26	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0b464c…
04-19 19:57:08	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xb64bc9…
04-19 17:43:30	will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe62338…
04-19 17:42:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x89939f…
04-19 17:42:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa8bf8d…
04-17 17:23:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xb47ff7…
04-16 22:58:54	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfbc7f2…
04-16 22:58:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa6fd6e…
04-16 22:51:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xbcd430…
04-16 19:10:20	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xc68b1f…
04-16 19:10:10	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5abd13…
04-16 19:00:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x147c96…
04-13 08:22:41	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xd1f25f…
04-07 23:03:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3,132	1¢	$31	0x3b4616…
03-31 19:16:11	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3265bd…
03-31 19:15:55	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x18c583…
03-30 23:05:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x5b0ab4…
03-30 23:04:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa49ce4…
03-26 22:38:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xb6e9ba…
03-26 22:36:59	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa48022…
03-26 15:09:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xdd12b3…
03-26 13:39:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x912079…
03-26 13:23:55	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	No	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0xb1c605…
03-26 13:17:49	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbf57fa…
03-26 13:17:45	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x14b84b…
03-26 13:15:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0ded1…
03-26 13:15:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6ae46f…
03-24 23:47:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4,610	0¢	$9	0x53ce11…
03-24 12:24:17	btc updown 5m 1774354800	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xdf8137…
03-24 12:17:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 24	Yes	SELL	53	17¢	$9	0x180b43…
03-24 10:00:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8,415	0¢	$17	0x2e4cfa…
03-24 09:54:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 24	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x89986f…
03-23 23:49:43	btc updown 5m 1774309500	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe6a52f…
03-23 23:47:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xf157b9…
03-23 23:46:43	btc updown 5m 1774309500	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x827f6f…
03-23 23:45:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf6760a…
03-23 23:40:49	btc updown 5m 1774309200	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x237891…
03-23 23:39:15	btc updown 5m 1774308900	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x7ff389…
03-23 23:35:15	btc updown 5m 1774308900	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x54fc4c…
03-23 23:33:21	btc updown 5m 1774308600	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xcfab2b…
03-23 23:26:45	btc updown 5m 1774308300	Up	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xb9be0f…
03-23 23:25:17	btc updown 5m 1774308300	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd60c74…
03-23 23:20:21	btc updown 5m 1774308000	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1b0d67…
03-23 23:18:53	btc updown 5m 1774307700	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x870858…
03-23 23:12:43	btc updown 5m 1774307400	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x571414…
03-23 22:57:41	btc updown 5m 1774306500	Up	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0x100af7…
03-23 22:37:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,844	0¢	$9	0xe0cce2…
03-22 17:30:09	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	1,198	46¢	$546	0xaac422…
03-22 10:38:21	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	915	60¢	$545	0x4bf16c…