Ignorant-Recording — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-03 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

38% 100% +$0

Other

32% 75% +$1

Crypto

28% 83% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	82¢	$1	$-0	06-25 09:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi lac 2026 02 02 total 221pt5	2	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	02-03 03:33
lal elc bar 2026 01 31 bar	6	$76	98	0	+98	open	—	01-31 21:18
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	1	$37	39	0	+39	open	—	02-05 19:50
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$29	33	0	+33	open	—	02-06 16:37
wta potapov cirstea 2026 02 05	8	$23	23	15	+8	open	—	02-05 17:07
nba det cha 2026 02 09	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	02-10 02:36
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	2	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-10 12:44
sea rom cag 2026 02 09 rom	1	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	02-09 18:32
nba hou atl 2026 01 29	1	$18	26	0	+26	open	—	01-30 00:47
lol shft fnc 2026 01 31	4	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	01-31 17:42
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	2	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	02-18 16:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-03 15:25
nba dal orl 2026 03 05	1	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 01:17
bitcoin up or down february 13 10pm et	1	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	02-14 03:29
btc updown 15m 1770399900	20	$12	14	7	+7	open	—	02-06 17:47
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	02-07 02:17
nba lac phx 2026 02 01	5	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	02-01 19:53
nba min mem 2026 02 02	5	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 01:09
nba sas phi 2026 03 03 total 231pt5	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-04 02:01
nba mem nop 2026 01 30	2	$9	21	0	+21	open	—	01-31 01:09
nba sas cha 2026 01 31	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	01-31 17:00
mwoh cze can 2026 02 12	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-11 08:02
ufc far1 jea1 2026 02 07	2	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	02-07 23:38
nba det phx 2026 01 29	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	01-30 01:58
nba mia bos 2026 02 06	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	02-07 00:26
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-23 21:55
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	02-17 20:08
ufc bru8 ket1 2026 02 07	3	$8	16	3	+12	open	—	02-08 00:05
nba tor orl 2026 01 30 total 220pt5	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 04:40
nba bkn uta 2026 01 30	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	01-31 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 10:25:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x547f4d…
07-03 10:22:49	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x70e313…
07-02 09:50:25	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xad279a…
07-01 22:30:44	btc updown 15m 1782945000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x072d56…
07-01 22:18:35	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6fd7bf…
07-01 22:09:41	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x544692…
07-01 22:05:53	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x75411e…
07-01 21:52:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42b63f…
07-01 21:46:31	btc updown 15m 1782942300	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0c67c…
07-01 14:23:58	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7992db…
07-01 11:13:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee472f…
06-29 08:48:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb11d29…
06-29 08:42:50	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa9c4cf…
06-27 16:34:05	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88f196…
06-27 11:44:02	btc updown 15m 1782559800	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa8559a…
06-25 09:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x65f203…
06-23 20:58:53	btc updown 15m 1782247500	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xf12cb3…
06-23 20:57:55	btc updown 15m 1782247500	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb21ba0…
06-23 08:35:44	btc updown 5m 1782203700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed8e54…
06-17 09:20:22	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb305c2…
06-17 09:01:17	btc updown 15m 1781686800	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x299cac…
06-17 08:55:44	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x655cdf…
06-17 08:55:14	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x976844…
06-04 07:20:21	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc0093b…
06-02 08:31:00	Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x03dbeb…
06-02 08:30:32	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf74b90…
06-02 08:02:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x54715b…
05-31 07:51:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8f0677…
05-31 06:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c879d…
05-31 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x39e25a…
05-16 06:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5c90a3…
05-14 15:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x109985…
05-14 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdf2d0d…
05-13 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ebd24…
05-13 10:55:35	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb819d4…
05-13 09:55:53	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23538c…
05-13 09:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x35318b…
05-12 18:35:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5f9b8…
05-11 07:26:59	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7fd9d8…
05-11 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf192e9…
05-10 21:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb30145…
05-06 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe4822…
05-06 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x24f239…
05-01 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xbab6d7…
05-01 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc1e361…
05-01 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xba75b5…
05-01 17:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xeb48d9…
05-01 16:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa2bd88…
05-01 16:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34cd60…
05-01 15:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc2a0c5…
05-01 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6f7e17…
04-30 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2d60a4…
04-30 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0a445e…
04-28 16:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x698ff3…
04-28 16:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xea954e…
04-28 16:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa4eca8…
04-28 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x06bb60…
04-28 16:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd60cb6…
04-28 16:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x51367d…
04-28 15:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbf963c…
04-28 15:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x23d935…
04-28 15:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa28808…
04-28 14:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x41f886…
04-26 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9fb04e…
04-26 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xea838d…
04-26 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x32c903…
04-26 19:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x23648b…
04-26 19:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0xa00ed5…
04-26 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x936eb5…
04-26 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb1a5f0…
04-26 19:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x874a53…
04-26 18:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24e5d7…
04-26 18:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x31c3c6…
04-26 18:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf66833…
04-26 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb78282…
04-26 08:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x12b650…
04-26 08:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe121a1…
04-26 08:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x923044…
04-26 08:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc33341…
04-26 08:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xfbebca…
04-26 08:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc9ada6…
04-26 08:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x411def…
04-26 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x52d559…
04-26 07:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6843d0…
04-26 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x59b714…
04-26 07:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x662e09…
04-26 05:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x800407…
04-26 05:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xe785f8…
04-26 05:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf975fc…
04-26 05:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa68c09…
04-26 05:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x29fab4…
04-26 05:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x39a95b…
04-24 08:24:48	btc updown 5m 1777019100	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf15e17…
04-24 08:08:54	btc updown 15m 1777017600	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0x1ebad8…
04-24 08:04:56	btc updown 15m 1777017600	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x777593…
04-24 07:37:56	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x750053…
04-24 07:33:04	btc updown 15m 1777015800	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x878a2b…
04-24 07:25:02	btc updown 15m 1777015800	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xda5879…
04-24 07:22:40	btc updown 15m 1777014900	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x43a182…
04-24 07:15:34	btc updown 15m 1777014900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe36a83…