Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 04-08 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 50% $-167

Other

29% 0% $-9

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	7	$168	2,509	0	+2,509	No	$-168	04-01 16:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$125	84	84	+0	open	—	02-28 23:21
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$85	53	53	+0	open	—	03-08 09:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$50	45	45	+0	open	—	03-14 20:27
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	03-22 13:47
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$44	72	0	+72	open	—	03-09 09:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	04-05 10:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$36	89	89	+0	open	—	03-06 09:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	02-28 09:17
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	03-08 09:13
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	4	$32	93	93	+0	open	—	03-31 12:32
will iran strike iraq again in march	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	03-28 07:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$24	54	0	+54	open	—	01-14 13:57
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-19 06:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-03 19:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 13:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	01-14 13:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	03-08 17:45
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$14	37	0	+37	open	—	01-14 23:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$12	26	26	+0	open	—	03-07 10:40
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-21 22:00
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-07 20:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	01-30 20:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-07 14:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-05 05:36
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	01-14 13:58
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	01-14 14:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-08 11:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$9	41	0	+41	No	$-9	04-07 20:29
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$9	45	0	+45	open	—	01-14 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 11:54:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x09ed12…
04-08 11:52:55	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0x8c584d…
04-07 20:29:51	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x849b98…
04-07 20:29:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x74cffe…
04-05 10:50:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc25c7e…
04-02 19:11:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0xcb9831…
04-01 16:55:47	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x0ef7db…
03-31 12:32:31	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0xa655b0…
03-29 13:24:02	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x644cfa…
03-29 13:23:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xbdc40b…
03-28 15:09:55	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,478	7¢	$107	0xa61374…
03-28 07:55:59	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	5¢	$14	0xbd4f65…
03-28 07:53:39	will iran strike iraq again in march	Yes	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x485ce3…
03-28 07:51:59	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	4¢	$15	0x6839eb…
03-28 07:50:51	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$9	0x34583e…
03-28 07:49:33	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$9	0xbd25f9…
03-28 07:47:57	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$9	0x45160b…
03-22 14:05:59	will iran strike iraq again in march	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x69ecba…
03-22 13:47:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x04ba5f…
03-19 06:46:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xdcde32…
03-15 19:36:41	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$9	0x31ca88…
03-15 13:20:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7eb680…
03-14 20:27:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x820697…
03-11 23:08:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x1542e6…
03-09 09:03:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x360427…
03-09 07:14:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf71f76…
03-08 17:45:21	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x679977…
03-08 14:57:03	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x3fc6e3…
03-08 09:13:49	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8ee7aa…
03-08 09:13:29	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x110ef0…
03-07 14:09:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x0959d8…
03-07 10:40:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xac6b09…
03-06 16:09:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xd61dcb…
03-06 09:50:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	89	10¢	$9	0xb1d2d3…
03-05 21:28:17	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xb9c396…
03-05 05:43:39	btc updown 5m 1772689200	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf4934e…
03-05 05:36:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2e2599…
03-04 20:02:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xeb9099…
03-04 20:01:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0xb1421b…
03-04 20:00:05	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x9ea9df…
03-04 07:30:59	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0xc1ccae…
03-03 19:32:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7632b8…
03-03 19:31:45	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x510286…
03-03 19:30:47	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3b7b9e…
03-03 19:28:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x28a8ad…
03-03 19:26:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xc4babe…
02-28 23:21:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0xa88d7e…
02-28 20:41:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf3a5d5…
02-28 15:35:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x8b724f…
02-28 13:15:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$14	0x0837b5…
02-28 09:17:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x705b42…
01-30 20:45:52	will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x731fec…
01-30 20:44:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x68dbb8…
01-21 22:01:16	will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xcef1c2…
01-21 22:00:24	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe59e00…
01-14 23:36:36	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x95750a…
01-14 23:33:54	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	37	39¢	$14	0x0c5a25…
01-14 14:09:52	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x3bf160…
01-14 14:01:06	israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x552f6c…
01-14 13:58:10	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x497111…
01-14 13:57:48	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x27914c…
01-14 13:57:14	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4eb651…
01-11 15:05:40	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x6c6948…
01-08 20:38:54	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xacc64b…
01-08 20:28:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xb035d9…
01-08 20:23:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xc4ec47…
01-08 20:17:56	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x6fc248…