Great-Edition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$841

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-09 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 56% +$33

Politics

25% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	36¢	$1	$-0	06-09 05:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	11	$125	79	79	+0	Up	+$31	05-05 13:09
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	05-15 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$68	172	172	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 13:29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$37	47	0	+47	open	—	05-15 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$35	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	7	$33	103	95	+7	Down	+$5	05-05 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$29	21	14	+7	Up	$-1	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$26	35	11	+24	Up	+$11	05-06 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$21	21	19	+2	Down	$-0	05-06 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$20	25	0	+25	Down	$-20	05-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$16	26	14	+11	Up	$-9	05-06 13:54
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$12	24	0	+24	Down	$-12	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$11	16	6	+10	Down	$-1	05-06 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$11	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 12:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$10	526	0	+526	open	—	05-05 09:34
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:36
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$2	05-05 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-05 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 08:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	Down	$-7	05-05 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:34:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf8dd57…
06-01 12:30:46	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc8b71e…
06-01 12:30:14	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x816ec1…
06-01 12:29:57	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6baf33…
06-01 07:06:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4d9051…
05-15 13:45:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5e20a2…
05-15 13:20:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9be4ac…
05-15 13:19:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5626c3…
05-15 06:37:05	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1dc830…
05-15 06:35:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6e1f8d…
05-15 06:35:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4d2ce8…
05-15 06:35:04	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec74ca…
05-15 06:34:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5ce501…
05-15 06:33:02	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x97960e…
05-15 06:20:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x9eb1fc…
05-14 11:37:04	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5a76f6…
05-14 11:36:33	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x23ea54…
05-14 11:36:17	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x25b7e7…
05-14 07:52:19	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x125970…
05-14 06:35:50	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x34c783…
05-14 06:35:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3cb1f8…
05-14 06:35:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb6b2d4…
05-12 06:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xf1d049…
05-08 13:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x4f7122…
05-08 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb8beaa…
05-07 08:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xa8ebda…
05-07 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xad1e2c…
05-07 08:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc14e67…
05-07 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2b1a67…
05-06 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2d8850…
05-06 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x0e4dd0…
05-06 13:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x0243ed…
05-06 13:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc7a393…
05-06 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6d4ea7…
05-06 13:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x98e30a…
05-06 13:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0bd960…
05-06 13:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xf638b0…
05-06 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7feeb6…
05-06 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x50ae39…
05-06 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x64b3c4…
05-06 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x470f1e…
05-06 13:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcbd22a…
05-06 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x0f8eed…
05-06 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa7604c…
05-06 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0xc22407…
05-06 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x051598…
05-06 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa1b854…
05-06 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xce62bf…
05-06 13:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x26a809…
05-06 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	17	95¢	$17	0x8e0004…
05-06 13:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7189a6…
05-06 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9915d9…
05-06 13:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa9e921…
05-06 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x70673b…
05-06 13:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x81eab3…
05-06 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa4189c…
05-06 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe0bbfd…
05-06 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa6902b…
05-06 07:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x757e54…
05-05 13:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x95d3df…
05-05 13:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7fbe59…
05-05 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xdc1374…
05-05 13:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4a166b…
05-05 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0253d0…
05-05 13:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcc6004…
05-05 13:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x739968…
05-05 13:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb2c833…
05-05 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6ae14e…
05-05 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x532ce0…
05-05 13:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf5da3b…
05-05 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6bf9fe…
05-05 13:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8db736…
05-05 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xddb8d8…
05-05 13:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x3f1c29…
05-05 13:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x32e56f…
05-05 13:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0ec0d0…
05-05 13:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9bd92a…
05-05 13:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xafe293…
05-05 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x52c245…
05-05 13:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc3473a…
05-05 13:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc1b6c3…
05-05 13:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfec028…
05-05 13:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xc1a32d…
05-05 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4d487f…
05-05 13:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6249d6…
05-05 13:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x449c33…
05-05 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xadf512…
05-05 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x312b67…
05-05 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x51f7af…
05-05 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc3e923…
05-05 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdaad45…
05-05 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x60b5a3…
05-05 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf499f8…
05-05 13:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8f9b50…
05-05 12:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa2305…
05-05 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfdb562…
05-05 12:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3b36eb…
05-05 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0f2ec6…
05-05 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3ea38…
05-05 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3f24e7…