Half-Legislature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-13 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 91% +$2

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	4	$60	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	5	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	3	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	4	$34	23	22	+0	open	—	04-25 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	4	$23	20	10	+10	open	—	04-30 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-25 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	2	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	3	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 13:47
will trump say cat during healthcare event	3	$13	27	40	-13	open	—	04-23 20:02
btc updown 5m 1772024400	2	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	02-25 13:03
btc updown 5m 1772022900	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	02-25 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 07:52
btc updown 5m 1772019000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-25 11:34
btc updown 5m 1772024700	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-25 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 06:50:43	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x65247c…
05-27 06:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66a0b1…
05-20 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xebae36…
05-15 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a0893…
05-14 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc42294…
05-13 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8ebff7…
05-11 13:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e5564…
05-11 12:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x391cc1…
05-11 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xacb8cc…
05-06 15:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97615d…
05-06 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xab8414…
05-06 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd1ef64…
05-06 07:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x59ec76…
05-06 02:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9d41f…
05-05 15:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x66e14c…
05-05 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x613d1b…
05-05 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6c7d2d…
05-05 13:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2c5c05…
05-05 12:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x471eb5…
05-05 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc08e40…
05-05 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe56770…
05-05 11:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xad7944…
05-05 09:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x06bd2c…
05-05 08:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdea538…
05-05 08:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdab7ca…
05-05 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xfd3e14…
05-05 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x848ef7…
05-05 06:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x067516…
05-03 06:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xed6c7c…
05-03 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x708312…
05-02 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x283dbe…
05-02 08:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf1dc7…
05-02 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1e8ad4…
05-02 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0c2459…
05-01 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4afa1d…
05-01 14:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6fea2b…
05-01 14:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f9b82…
05-01 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x12a0b4…
05-01 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb4e15f…
05-01 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x79909b…
05-01 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x699982…
05-01 08:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x89720a…
05-01 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c2151…
05-01 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc3e52…
05-01 03:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x65d761…
05-01 03:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x24989e…
05-01 03:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x621882…
04-30 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x80907a…
04-30 14:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x70ed7e…
04-30 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x99dfad…
04-30 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x883bcb…
04-30 14:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb95405…
04-30 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xee5a4d…
04-30 13:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x125f21…
04-30 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x7636a8…
04-30 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x881cd6…
04-30 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x23599c…
04-29 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa1f8a8…
04-28 07:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x517c3d…
04-27 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb409d…
04-27 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb35b52…
04-27 03:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf9444…
04-27 03:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x87d43f…
04-27 02:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0b4463…
04-27 01:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06c109…
04-27 01:55:24	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "S&P" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x67a85d…
04-26 17:26:00	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "S&P" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x6b2a4a…
04-26 15:18:38	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf513e8…
04-26 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5951b1…
04-26 13:30:36	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x403242…
04-26 09:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x91597d…
04-26 08:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3b787e…
04-26 03:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x31d15e…
04-26 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3afca8…
04-26 02:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa14988…
04-25 15:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x663979…
04-25 14:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2c4ff1…
04-25 14:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x988b86…
04-25 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe76a91…
04-25 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb0d9af…
04-25 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2b88ba…
04-25 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1a1a69…
04-25 09:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd3d323…
04-25 09:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcd0b4c…
04-25 08:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8aa420…
04-25 06:39:20	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x29c144…
04-25 06:33:04	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x8d6b1e…
04-25 01:19:42	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb23a6f…
04-25 01:16:44	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6a6777…
04-25 00:29:36	Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x644d9f…
04-24 22:38:52	will closed source be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa045ac…
04-24 17:52:54	Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xede09d…
04-24 14:20:36	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7c22e7…
04-24 12:06:32	will trump sign an executive order today	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xcbcab6…
04-24 11:27:34	will trump sign an executive order today	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x38af2d…
04-24 10:53:08	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0a95da…
04-24 08:29:24	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x3f7575…
04-24 08:18:52	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xc2a12d…
04-24 03:49:30	will deepfake be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 567	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7da010…
04-24 02:45:36	will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x494158…