Actual-Ecology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$116

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 52% $-2

Other

45% 43% +$0

Sports

4% 0% $-5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$22	12	12	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$2	05-12 21:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	3	$17	13	13	+0	Coco Gauff	+$3	05-12 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 11:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	2	$7	4	4	+0	Dino Prizmic	+$1	05-08 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	05-12 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$6	30	0	+30	Down	+$2	05-12 20:14
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	6	0	+6	Sean Strickland	$-5	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$3	6	2	+3	Up	$-1	05-12 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$3	9	2	+6	Down	$-1	05-12 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 19:25
Cordoba: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Ryan Dickerson	1	$2	4	0	+4	Ryan Dickerson	$-2	05-11 21:36
Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova	2	$2	3	3	+0	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	$-1	05-12 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 18:23
Lee Kang-in: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	$-1	05-10 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 17:55
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-11 21:37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	1	$1	2	0	+2	Andrea Pellegrino	$-1	05-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 20:56
Goncalo Ramos: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4bb857…
05-13 09:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xd3a255…
05-13 09:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4906cd…
05-13 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x959c68…
05-13 09:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9588ae…
05-13 09:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x37553f…
05-12 22:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x215ed9…
05-12 22:04:25	Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova	Hernan Casanova	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xbd1b6f…
05-12 21:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x09ac90…
05-12 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa39946…
05-12 21:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x44a1b0…
05-12 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c25e9…
05-12 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa1d31f…
05-12 21:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8a0f65…
05-12 21:28:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5f35d3…
05-12 21:17:05	Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova	Hernan Casanova	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4126ed…
05-12 21:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe4c290…
05-12 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x640f05…
05-12 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e1946…
05-12 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37a6c3…
05-12 20:42:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfaba6c…
05-12 20:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x89102e…
05-12 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x5de340…
05-12 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7d46aa…
05-12 20:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2ca1c9…
05-12 19:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x67f162…
05-12 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x653183…
05-12 19:19:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x053286…
05-12 18:25:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb975bc…
05-12 18:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xc22efc…
05-12 18:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0b684d…
05-12 18:12:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb1a963…
05-12 17:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1fa874…
05-12 07:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xceab28…
05-12 07:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x489a9b…
05-12 07:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4d7904…
05-12 06:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x567cf6…
05-12 06:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6ea1d8…
05-11 21:37:50	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x32f904…
05-11 21:36:54	Cordoba: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Ryan Dickerson	Juan Ignacio Gallego	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe627f8…
05-11 12:02:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9fb150…
05-11 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x97f000…
05-11 11:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x48a66b…
05-11 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x116afe…
05-11 11:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6ccfa6…
05-11 11:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x714704…
05-11 11:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e5fb0…
05-10 18:27:51	Goncalo Ramos: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x96c79c…
05-10 18:27:42	Lee Kang-in: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x22109d…
05-09 20:34:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x36f611…
05-08 18:16:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Dino Prizmic	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x06d99d…
05-08 18:00:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa9322d…