Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$446

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-03 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

63% 67% $-7

Politics

31% 100% +$1

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$50	400	400	+0	open	—	05-03 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	16	$44	661	661	+0	open	—	05-01 12:48
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	8	$41	250	275	-25	Yes	+$2	05-03 03:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$37	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 13:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$35	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 18:30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$29	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 08:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$26	400	400	+0	open	—	05-01 10:27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	14	$22	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 13:15
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 18:09
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	5	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 23:10
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	3	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 08:34
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	4	$15	105	105	+0	open	—	04-30 15:58
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	3	$15	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 15:33
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	2	$13	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 03:10
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$12	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 03:09
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$12	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 22:05
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	3	$11	100	100	+0	No	$-9	05-01 10:27
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	12	$11	59	59	+0	open	—	05-01 10:37
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	2	$8	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 00:30
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	276	276	+0	open	—	05-01 08:49
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$3	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 04:37
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	6	$2	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 04:22
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	3	$1	200	200	+0	Michael	+$1	05-01 08:08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	1	$0	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 03:13:22	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x76e3f0…
05-03 03:10:38	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x2bae48…
05-03 03:10:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x70f433…
05-03 03:09:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x830e8b…
05-01 22:05:20	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1dcf24…
05-01 18:30:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xea0aee…
05-01 18:09:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x327638…
05-01 13:15:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$2	0xcd0edf…
05-01 12:48:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0x43f783…
05-01 10:50:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x776736…
05-01 10:37:32	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x5aba6a…
05-01 10:31:06	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf8415a…
05-01 10:30:50	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x683bf9…
05-01 10:30:34	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x98e416…
05-01 10:30:20	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf213d0…
05-01 10:30:06	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x286103…
05-01 10:29:52	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x718bf9…
05-01 10:29:34	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0f3e9c…
05-01 10:29:14	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2e39b3…
05-01 10:29:02	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbbf09b…
05-01 10:28:48	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x039e8b…
05-01 10:28:36	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcc1c3a…
05-01 10:27:44	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x09e3af…
05-01 10:27:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0xab67c0…
05-01 10:05:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xfc547c…
05-01 10:04:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x38dd4a…
05-01 09:45:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd06be8…
05-01 09:32:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x311d7e…
05-01 09:20:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0xa530c8…
05-01 08:58:18	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x66f1b6…
05-01 08:49:00	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4ee58d…
05-01 08:42:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x9ae253…
05-01 08:41:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a3bf5…
05-01 08:34:36	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x10ee3c…
05-01 08:32:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xad73c2…
05-01 08:08:52	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x779f88…
05-01 07:35:30	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x81f143…
05-01 07:29:26	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	92	9¢	$8	0xf5a94f…
05-01 07:29:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x48889d…
05-01 07:09:38	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xee78bf…
05-01 07:09:30	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xccca9f…
05-01 06:52:32	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x72a50b…
05-01 06:52:12	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6049ba…
05-01 06:47:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd8e3d3…
05-01 06:30:14	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x87816f…
05-01 06:17:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x62fb75…
05-01 06:07:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x1332a2…
05-01 06:03:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x463a81…
05-01 05:58:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x475338…
05-01 05:47:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdbd999…
05-01 05:40:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf0d616…
05-01 05:21:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	175	8¢	$14	0xaad066…
05-01 04:37:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1a390b…
05-01 04:22:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5cc97c…
05-01 04:02:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1d4338…
05-01 04:02:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6b35c9…
05-01 03:45:54	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xca95f5…
05-01 03:40:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x1aca8a…
05-01 03:25:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb7f5d6…
05-01 03:24:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x06b540…
05-01 03:24:14	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbd6dfd…
05-01 02:41:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf1ba45…
05-01 02:01:42	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8fa9ad…
05-01 01:47:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3c5167…
05-01 01:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xfcf6b8…
05-01 01:24:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x865901…
05-01 01:08:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0xeb42ce…
05-01 00:59:18	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x65fc09…
05-01 00:56:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x38774b…
05-01 00:55:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x12624f…
05-01 00:30:18	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x0c93fd…
04-30 23:10:36	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xb717a8…
04-30 22:14:18	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c7b59…
04-30 22:13:18	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8c99a5…
04-30 22:07:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x2bdcc4…
04-30 21:41:22	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xf2d757…
04-30 21:40:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x41aaa5…
04-30 21:20:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d99ed…
04-30 20:49:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xa80a04…
04-30 20:47:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5d664e…
04-30 20:47:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb22ba0…
04-30 19:53:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x212761…
04-30 19:38:12	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf40ff2…
04-30 19:01:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x38e375…
04-30 19:00:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x86d0e4…
04-30 18:29:46	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe69307…
04-30 18:04:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x348b96…
04-30 17:54:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x3303f9…
04-30 17:21:28	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x0993e4…
04-30 16:49:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd58847…
04-30 16:45:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6ba13a…
04-30 16:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x063b39…
04-30 16:11:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x899fc5…
04-30 16:02:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe7a444…
04-30 15:58:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	5¢	$5	0x6d7e1b…
04-30 15:58:18	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xaef82f…
04-30 15:49:20	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd77e50…
04-30 15:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0039ed…
04-30 15:35:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9423ce…
04-30 15:33:12	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0xf4989c…