Practical-Occurrence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-22 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 57% $-1

Politics

14% 0% $-4

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$6	185	185	+0	Yes	$-4	05-12 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-08 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-08 15:30
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-08 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 06:22
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-08 14:25
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-09 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-08 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-09 05:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$1	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 07:14
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-09 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-08 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-09 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 18:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-09 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd2b838…
05-22 18:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3f20ac…
05-22 18:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x78cfba…
05-22 18:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xac7c3b…
05-22 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xca69bd…
05-22 17:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xefbebd…
05-22 17:33:53	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xbb1eb9…
05-15 17:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x75f24d…
05-12 02:55:11	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	185	0¢	$1	0x14e535…
05-12 02:49:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x1896f3…
05-09 08:07:06	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9e27ba…
05-09 07:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xd39e62…
05-09 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x99aeeb…
05-09 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x19abea…
05-09 07:21:47	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf2c520…
05-09 07:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x81797a…
05-09 07:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x3c3376…
05-09 07:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9841f1…
05-09 07:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x300cae…
05-09 07:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x250918…
05-09 06:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa3423e…
05-09 06:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9fcf5e…
05-09 06:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x23cdcb…
05-09 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd708a7…
05-09 06:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4b2e89…
05-09 06:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x88dd7c…
05-09 06:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4fef03…
05-09 06:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4a534c…
05-09 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcec653…
05-09 05:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa9de6c…
05-09 05:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd763d4…
05-09 05:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x473c3e…
05-09 05:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x84e694…
05-09 05:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x083016…
05-09 05:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x710543…
05-09 05:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x041668…
05-09 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4c2a5a…
05-09 05:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xfbe4f9…
05-09 05:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x489337…
05-09 05:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xd527fc…
05-09 05:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0c3531…
05-09 05:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xf54d3d…
05-09 04:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe8d068…
05-09 04:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcd3579…
05-09 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xf57f1e…
05-09 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x8330b6…
05-09 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x8054dd…
05-09 03:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xe3160c…
05-09 03:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x53788e…
05-09 03:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb6bb14…
05-09 03:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9b15b3…
05-09 03:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdbfb28…
05-09 03:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd0fc9f…
05-09 03:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb03c50…
05-09 03:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6ef9e5…
05-08 17:13:42	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcc5ef1…
05-08 16:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9e62d6…
05-08 15:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe199ce…
05-08 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xd4d71e…
05-08 15:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x627288…
05-08 14:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x93ed22…
05-08 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xae6c55…
05-08 14:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5144d7…
05-07 15:42:00	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcec5ff…
05-07 13:22:26	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0xfce084…
05-07 12:51:21	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xfa3c77…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	33	$17.0K	2,391	05-22 18:33
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	33	$5.50K	961	05-22 18:33
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	33	$4.78K	441	05-22 18:33
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	33	$4.19K	657	05-22 18:33
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	32	$39.8K	2,006	05-22 18:35
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	32	$13.4K	1,282	05-22 18:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	32	$8.14K	2,366	05-22 18:33
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	32	$8.04K	2,283	05-22 18:34