Tepid-Tip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$706

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-05 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$22	28	20	+9	open	—	04-25 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$20	20	13	+7	open	—	04-25 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	6	$19	25	24	+1	open	—	04-26 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$19	36	20	+16	open	—	04-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$18	24	9	+14	open	—	04-26 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$18	24	18	+7	open	—	04-26 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$18	21	7	+14	open	—	04-26 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$17	22	13	+9	open	—	04-25 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$16	22	10	+12	open	—	04-25 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$15	25	9	+17	open	—	04-25 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$15	25	18	+7	open	—	04-26 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$14	22	14	+8	open	—	04-26 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+1	open	—	04-25 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-25 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$10	14	8	+6	open	—	04-25 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$10	41	36	+4	open	—	04-26 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	04-26 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$7	8	7	+0	open	—	04-26 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 21:17:19	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd0d6c9…
06-05 21:15:51	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x55b327…
06-04 19:24:13	btc updown 5m 1780600800	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0e1ce8…
06-04 19:17:15	btc updown 5m 1780600500	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x316e5f…
06-04 19:16:31	btc updown 5m 1780600500	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x45e47e…
06-04 19:16:03	btc updown 5m 1780600500	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xecf641…
06-04 19:12:43	btc updown 5m 1780600200	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x87f09b…
06-04 19:02:06	btc updown 5m 1780599600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x375f41…
06-02 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3a1a87…
05-15 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x11dcf2…
05-08 07:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf01c34…
05-06 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7d92f…
05-06 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x75c5c7…
05-04 19:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2136d8…
05-03 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x268aa4…
05-03 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb80591…
05-03 14:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x77a614…
05-03 14:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xce4b4b…
05-03 14:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2fe4a5…
05-03 14:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd39e57…
05-03 14:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe2606b…
05-03 14:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x99adf9…
05-03 14:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x535030…
05-03 14:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7f08a5…
05-01 14:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x79568e…
05-01 14:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x7264b9…
05-01 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7f8bde…
05-01 14:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb46bf8…
05-01 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x72f84e…
05-01 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x5af6bb…
05-01 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5dfe77…
05-01 13:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6b43c8…
05-01 13:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d3deb…
05-01 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x47f71f…
05-01 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x53a47c…
05-01 13:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x4994fd…
05-01 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeebcf0…
05-01 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5b6d2…
05-01 12:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0fbf49…
05-01 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2362bb…
05-01 12:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x45c4f6…
05-01 12:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7e365b…
05-01 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0723db…
04-30 10:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x91dbe3…
04-29 23:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x279513…
04-29 23:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x524ba3…
04-29 23:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe49d49…
04-29 23:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x6a3d12…
04-29 23:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9962ac…
04-29 23:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3338be…
04-29 23:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf10057…
04-29 23:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe2a1ce…
04-29 23:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65e7f2…
04-29 23:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbe7a42…
04-29 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63c052…
04-29 23:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc20220…
04-29 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x117bb4…
04-29 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcb9f4a…
04-29 20:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe74b65…
04-28 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x1fbd25…
04-28 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee5de3…
04-28 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x6be401…
04-28 19:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x011fbf…
04-28 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x49e230…
04-28 17:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x577773…
04-28 17:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xc7e605…
04-28 17:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c2a3b…
04-28 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x42d027…
04-28 02:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xff9b50…
04-28 02:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x479fbc…
04-28 02:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9fee05…
04-28 01:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4015b…
04-28 01:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x964b85…
04-26 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9f82f2…
04-26 21:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd4a4b6…
04-26 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xac2ccb…
04-26 21:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xe2fa0d…
04-26 21:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x702c85…
04-26 21:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x697ce5…
04-26 21:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x934ff2…
04-26 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43e53e…
04-26 20:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7e3ec…
04-26 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7f483c…
04-26 18:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x77754f…
04-26 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x76c4dc…
04-26 16:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd65f9c…
04-26 12:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x806076…
04-26 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x40d91b…
04-26 12:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb41850…
04-26 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x17a223…
04-26 11:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x86e10a…
04-26 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbe7759…
04-26 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa0ed81…
04-26 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5933ef…
04-26 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x03f5e8…
04-26 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x241251…
04-26 10:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2e6ca2…
04-26 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6c1ae5…
04-26 10:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb15abf…
04-26 09:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaa4b7d…