Modest-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 75% +$1

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	+3	$2	88¢	$3	+$1	05-06 21:06
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	+3	$2	60¢	$2	$-0	05-14 14:56
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	+25	$1	2¢	$0	$-1	05-06 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 14:56:19	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3ca804…
05-12 20:55:59	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x59901f…
05-12 20:42:38	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x650f36…
05-12 20:21:06	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe5f217…
05-11 05:27:41	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x6d8d64…
05-06 21:06:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfb172c…
05-06 20:25:50	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbaed72…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-12 20:55
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 14:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 21:06
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-12 20:21
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	25	0	+25	Yes	$-1	05-12 20:42
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-06 20:25
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$0	0	11	-11	Yes	+$0	05-11 05:27