Helpless-Randomisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$6.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	2	$999	502	502	+0	open	—	04-06 03:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$790	800	800	+0	open	—	05-26 19:04
ere her aja 2026 04 11 aja	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	04-11 20:32
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-18 19:15
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-17 21:35
sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	04-05 20:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	11	$360	300	250	+50	open	—	05-15 14:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$218	200	200	+0	open	—	05-05 17:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$167	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 18:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$163	210	200	+10	open	—	05-24 19:36
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$134	131	131	+0	open	—	04-08 17:27
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	2	$118	94	93	+1	open	—	04-19 02:28
nvda up or down on april 9 2026	4	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 13:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	5	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 14:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 03:17
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$87	122	122	+0	open	—	05-29 01:36
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	4	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 20:05
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	2	$50	84	84	+0	open	—	06-04 02:22
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	3	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 03:05
nba hou ind 2026 02 02	1	$50	70	0	+70	open	—	02-02 21:59
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	06-07 22:32
nba det sas 2026 03 05	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	03-06 01:06
bun hei hof 2026 03 07 hof	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-07 16:20
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-15 16:36
nba cha sas 2026 03 14	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-14 21:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$45	76	76	+0	open	—	05-21 01:23
googl up or down on april 9 2026	2	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 13:32
nba okc den 2026 04 10	2	$38	57	56	+1	open	—	04-11 02:41
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 draw	2	$34	43	43	+0	open	—	03-14 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:30:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x95740e…
07-19 21:43:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x42d948…
06-07 22:32:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7655be…
06-04 02:22:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	84	23¢	$19	0x68d2e3…
06-03 19:15:01	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0x892f3a…
05-29 01:36:58	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	122	30¢	$37	0x216cc3…
05-28 23:20:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x7d6bb5…
05-26 19:04:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xe2a066…
05-26 18:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc9ad31…
05-26 18:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	74¢	$139	0xb90164…
05-26 18:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa8244b…
05-26 18:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6936d6…
05-26 17:40:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xcb4602…
05-26 17:36:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd73ad3…
05-26 17:11:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x3d7c74…
05-26 17:08:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xb7b655…
05-26 16:17:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x4a102f…
05-26 16:15:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x5ecae2…
05-24 19:36:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xfac1d4…
05-24 19:05:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x61bf64…
05-24 18:09:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$83	0xb43b27…
05-24 18:01:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x4ebf5e…
05-24 16:19:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x28fc30…
05-24 15:41:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa7149a…
05-21 01:23:17	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0xa86d4b…
05-20 15:14:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x054596…
05-16 18:09:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x50f32c…
05-15 16:49:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x26367f…
05-15 15:53:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb80d3e…
05-15 14:22:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x41e327…
05-15 14:02:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xcc7a02…
05-15 13:55:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xefe691…
05-15 01:34:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	99	29¢	$29	0xb12649…
05-15 01:32:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xa33222…
05-15 01:19:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x416587…
05-15 00:53:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x168839…
05-15 00:42:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x14bd32…
05-15 00:26:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xe7504a…
05-15 00:25:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xac480b…
05-15 00:23:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x169d78…
05-14 23:54:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc138b1…
05-14 23:54:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x539eb1…
05-14 23:53:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x22d392…
05-13 01:46:45	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xbbdb26…
05-09 22:05:28	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xaccba8…
05-05 17:17:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xc45bf7…
05-05 15:31:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	167	52¢	$87	0x62ed9b…
05-05 15:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x90f6eb…
04-23 21:27:14	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xbc708a…
04-19 02:28:54	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	SELL	93	73¢	$68	0x93ab32…
04-19 01:54:42	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x3fbb55…
04-19 00:14:10	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Hawks	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0xa79e52…
04-18 23:25:12	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Hawks	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xe22cad…
04-17 22:30:44	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9d6880…
04-14 15:12:49	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa30554…
04-14 15:11:59	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xca0355…
04-11 20:32:03	ere her aja 2026 04 11 aja	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x7a8ba3…
04-11 20:04:31	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0xfa4756…
04-11 19:57:43	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdb1b1e…
04-11 02:41:33	nba okc den 2026 04 10	Thunder	SELL	56	33¢	$18	0x2974c3…
04-09 18:17:29	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x81f1c7…
04-09 17:17:47	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf3e998…
04-09 14:54:19	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x2635eb…
04-09 14:46:59	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	198	41¢	$81	0x16f02d…
04-09 14:46:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeba705…
04-09 13:56:11	nba okc den 2026 04 10	Thunder	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x19fdae…
04-09 13:33:31	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x57330e…
04-09 13:32:31	googl up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xa81d76…
04-09 13:31:31	nvda up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x853fdf…
04-09 12:02:59	nvda up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	59¢	$29	0x585329…
04-09 11:42:13	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x6ded81…
04-09 11:12:23	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x46b978…
04-09 04:08:41	googl up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x34ae76…
04-09 03:07:09	nvda up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x48cf1c…
04-09 03:05:57	tsla up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x9054db…
04-08 22:58:17	tsla up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xcab50e…
04-08 22:55:31	tsla up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b8129…
04-08 21:14:49	nvda up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7d22dc…
04-08 17:27:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xc37354…
04-08 17:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x388d9f…
04-08 04:02:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x809b59…
04-08 02:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xfdca59…
04-08 02:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x203685…
04-08 02:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	31	61¢	$19	0x24dc1f…
04-08 02:48:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5869c8…
04-08 02:47:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x456025…
04-08 02:47:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x592e9d…
04-08 01:56:55	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x31f426…
04-08 01:55:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6e84a3…
04-06 22:37:49	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfd6635…
04-06 22:37:25	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x840e87…
04-06 03:33:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	SELL	502	99¢	$499	0x7f6e97…
04-06 03:30:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x7e4a38…
04-05 20:26:35	sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x9da31a…
04-05 14:38:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x1b601e…
04-05 12:25:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x4f4d2f…
04-05 05:46:55	nba hou gsw 2026 04 05	Rockets	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x7d4b08…
04-05 03:16:37	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9b47ef…
04-05 01:53:15	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf73e59…
04-05 00:08:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x95cd9a…