Repentant-Carnival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-05 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% $-15

Politics

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$973	505	505	+0	open	—	05-13 05:03
israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	2	$846	455	455	+0	open	—	07-05 02:59
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	2	$838	435	435	+0	open	—	07-05 06:15
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	1	$480	495	0	+495	Villarreal CF	+$15	05-13 05:15
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)	1	$475	485	0	+485	open	—	05-15 05:48
den mid agf 2026 04 20 spread away 2pt5	1	$362	370	0	+370	open	—	04-20 05:44
fl1 olm met 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	1	$302	305	0	+305	open	—	04-10 11:55
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	2	$56	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	05-19 07:50
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	2	$30	965	0	+965	Randers FC	$-30	05-11 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 06:15:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	435	96¢	$419	0x24e9df…
07-05 05:32:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	435	96¢	$419	0xa69da1…
07-05 02:59:01	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	No	SELL	455	92¢	$419	0xdd003a…
07-05 01:42:31	israeli forces enter nabatieh by july 31	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x66a301…
05-19 07:50:23	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	515	6¢	$28	0xe34e3b…
05-19 07:50:09	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0x94f20f…
05-15 05:48:45	Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	485	98¢	$475	0x5c4bba…
05-13 05:15:11	Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	495	97¢	$480	0xc24ea1…
05-13 05:03:36	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	505	96¢	$487	0xef96df…
05-13 03:40:44	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0x6b98b4…
05-11 09:20:19	Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	Odense BK	BUY	485	4¢	$20	0x6ee822…
05-11 09:19:27	Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)	Odense BK	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0x03a123…
04-20 05:44:18	den mid agf 2026 04 20 spread away 2pt5	FC Midtjylland	BUY	370	98¢	$362	0x723879…
04-10 11:55:11	fl1 olm met 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	305	99¢	$302	0x6c862d…