Weird-Bumper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-18 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$8

Other

23% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-5	$-0	8¢	$-0	+$0	06-18 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 08:55
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-12 17:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 06:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 21:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 05:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 09:47
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 21:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 21:02
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 13:15
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 10:08
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 21:02
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 21:02
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 08:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 14:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 06:42
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 22:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-09 14:54
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-16 19:37
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-12 18:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-09 14:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	06-18 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 14:20:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7e9266…
06-01 09:47:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e982a…
05-25 21:10:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0539e9…
05-18 16:43:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe64cdc…
05-16 22:57:25	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x52f718…
05-16 19:37:55	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xce3b3f…
05-15 14:36:40	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9aea34…
05-15 08:02:38	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x92388e…
05-13 21:02:46	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x72bd94…
05-13 21:02:38	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x455661…
05-13 21:02:25	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9d8811…
05-13 21:02:18	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x0a9c74…
05-12 21:09:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0644ab…
05-12 21:09:17	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4c1d2b…
05-12 21:09:09	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x593ce8…
05-12 18:06:09	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb23ffb…
05-12 18:03:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x384316…
05-12 17:53:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xf3de7a…
05-12 16:59:39	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x601d09…
05-11 13:15:40	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x408d19…
05-10 14:49:41	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc0ed41…
05-09 14:54:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc1bf20…
05-09 14:54:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65bae7…
05-09 14:54:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x366b46…
05-09 14:54:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8957fb…
05-09 08:55:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdc8bcc…
04-30 06:52:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x644e0a…
04-24 05:02:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x191405…
04-17 06:53:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd7cac9…
04-17 06:42:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x35ba98…
04-17 06:42:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcb7b51…
04-13 14:16:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xab21dd…
04-12 10:46:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1224b…
04-12 10:45:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfc32cf…
04-12 10:08:47	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x634816…
04-09 15:20:17	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd30cce…
04-09 15:11:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x850918…
04-09 11:25:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaa5c22…