Irresponsible-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-14 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

85% 80% +$42

Crypto

14% 67% +$23

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	2	$313	460	460	+0	Yes	+$28	05-11 12:53
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	4	$190	110	110	-0	Yes	+$9	05-08 06:04
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	2	$177	159	159	+0	No	$-8	05-07 15:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	1	$158	170	0	+170	Yes	+$12	05-11 15:57
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	4	$150	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$56	38	38	+0	open	—	05-06 14:24
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$44	102	102	+0	No	+$24	05-05 15:55
crban ran syl 2026 01 20	1	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	01-20 05:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 7?	1	$28	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	05-07 09:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	1	$27	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 06:49
bitcoin above 96k on january 19	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	01-19 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 04:15
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$11	88	0	+88	open	—	02-12 08:52
bitcoin above 94k on january 19	2	$8	28	0	+28	open	—	01-19 08:29
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	2	$7	27	0	+27	open	—	01-19 23:09
bitcoin up or down on january 19	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	01-18 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-03 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 13:06
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$4	44	0	+44	open	—	01-18 17:19
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$2	268	0	+268	No	$-2	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 13:10
nhl nyi van 2026 01 19	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	01-20 05:19
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-19 17:13
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 19	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	01-19 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:19:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x894442…
05-14 08:34:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	BUY	56	29¢	$16	0x21224f…
05-14 08:13:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	BUY	423	29¢	$123	0x0c31aa…
05-14 07:43:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x882ed9…
05-14 06:49:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x3b0bc9…
05-11 15:57:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	170	93¢	$158	0xc10cac…
05-11 12:53:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	No	SELL	460	37¢	$170	0x417797…
05-09 14:20:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	No	BUY	460	31¢	$143	0xd1d21b…
05-08 06:04:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	83	90¢	$75	0xeb7469…
05-08 05:42:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb98532…
05-08 05:41:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x11c9f1…
05-08 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xfccda2…
05-08 04:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x00deba…
05-08 04:08:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xf10897…
05-07 15:23:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	159	53¢	$84	0xf99900…
05-07 09:20:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xac8ca4…
05-07 08:10:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	159	58¢	$92	0x92dfe7…
05-06 14:24:38	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0xf7df30…
05-05 15:55:20	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	82	32¢	$26	0x04833e…
05-05 15:55:00	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xd2a0c9…
05-05 15:53:34	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x641d85…
05-05 12:24:04	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8be247…
05-05 12:15:44	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0x4ae8f1…
05-05 06:07:38	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x6098be…
05-03 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x46e1c4…
05-03 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa9e529…
05-03 13:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa19f6d…
05-03 13:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x77e093…
05-03 11:45:50	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x0938d6…
02-12 08:52:03	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x975c85…
01-20 05:43:52	crban ran syl 2026 01 20	Rangpur Riders	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x179403…
01-20 05:19:18	nhl nyi van 2026 01 19	Canucks	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xad2c56…
01-19 23:09:38	bitcoin above 94k on january 20	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd4b5de…
01-19 17:13:40	bitcoin above 92k on january 20	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdceb2a…
01-19 17:12:24	bitcoin above 94k on january 20	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x853e3a…
01-19 15:09:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 19	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79f91e…
01-19 08:29:22	bitcoin above 94k on january 19	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x92f921…
01-19 08:25:00	bitcoin above 96k on january 19	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x36ad32…
01-18 18:49:40	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xa3fadb…
01-18 17:19:24	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9625b5…
01-18 17:19:06	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x1237b8…
01-18 17:06:54	bitcoin above 96k on january 19	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x26de2f…
01-18 17:03:28	bitcoin above 94k on january 19	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1f00d5…