Mean-Shipping — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$515

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-07 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 68% $-40

Other

8% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$40	58	0	+58	Down	$-9	05-05 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$32	23	13	+10	Down	+$2	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$31	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$23	24	0	+24	Down	$-23	05-06 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$19	15	12	+3	Down	+$6	05-06 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$17	22	12	+10	Down	$-3	05-05 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$14	19	0	+19	Up	+$5	05-06 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$11	16	2	+14	Up	+$4	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$11	62	0	+62	Up	$-11	05-05 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 10:34
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-25 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-05 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-10	05-05 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 13:24
will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:06
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-06 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x907dc6…
05-07 15:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2ab304…
05-07 10:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd60b95…
05-07 05:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x428154…
05-07 05:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x85eeb0…
05-06 18:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa4a298…
05-06 18:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x5e0648…
05-06 18:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x913bdf…
05-06 18:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe2b8c5…
05-06 18:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf6be64…
05-06 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x53c105…
05-06 18:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4aa20f…
05-06 18:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x22f565…
05-06 15:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x23897a…
05-06 15:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6484d6…
05-06 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5d34d3…
05-06 15:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x0938a9…
05-06 15:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa02b49…
05-06 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x354cef…
05-06 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xabf1bf…
05-06 14:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xa6e951…
05-06 14:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x56d1d2…
05-06 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0x9ffce6…
05-06 14:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf84893…
05-06 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa9bd27…
05-06 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x398da1…
05-06 14:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x73cf77…
05-06 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x9de610…
05-06 13:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xca0001…
05-06 13:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe6e03c…
05-06 09:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x5bccaa…
05-06 09:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xff27a4…
05-06 08:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x4efba3…
05-06 08:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcf03fd…
05-06 08:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x6351d7…
05-06 08:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0ff1a9…
05-06 08:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x05bf4c…
05-06 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3a52e9…
05-06 08:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xba98e9…
05-06 08:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3940eb…
05-06 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe0525e…
05-06 05:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x567c0e…
05-06 05:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf7b1d0…
05-06 05:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x410fdb…
05-06 05:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd26ad0…
05-06 05:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1583ec…
05-06 05:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x0023e0…
05-06 05:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x255c81…
05-06 05:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x034dae…
05-06 04:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa928b3…
05-06 04:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3b18af…
05-06 04:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6f2092…
05-06 04:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe1a6cb…
05-05 15:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0c7953…
05-05 15:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x76568f…
05-05 15:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf08463…
05-05 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0a2b58…
05-05 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x59b5bb…
05-05 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5a7ed7…
05-05 11:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x54dcdb…
05-05 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9e6e14…
05-05 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x4167a9…
05-05 11:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2cbfa6…
05-05 10:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x46f2e7…
05-05 10:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2f5bb9…
05-05 10:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcadeed…
05-05 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x14a2c7…
05-05 10:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x965d25…
05-05 10:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x670db5…
05-05 10:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x918fad…
05-05 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xaa2ba6…
05-05 10:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x16bdd4…
05-05 10:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xcb3af7…
05-05 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9e7698…
05-05 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc50bbc…
05-05 10:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x641731…
05-05 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x781dd4…
05-05 09:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x30132b…
05-05 09:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9329b6…
05-05 09:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x759ba2…
05-05 05:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xab5324…
05-05 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5f5434…
05-05 05:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x5a0fcc…
05-05 05:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8503e0…
05-05 05:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x363e89…
05-05 05:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0f8c6e…
05-05 05:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa54cd3…
05-05 05:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9581e2…
05-05 05:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xc712b7…
05-05 05:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x468cc9…
05-05 04:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc86e5b…
05-05 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x22cdd4…
05-05 04:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x863e89…
05-04 13:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd55e58…
05-04 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe34d04…
05-04 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4fe740…
05-04 13:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x710d63…
05-04 13:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7a800d…
05-04 06:20:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xea2c88…
03-10 05:56:11	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xc44055…