Even-Break — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

140

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-09 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$110	119	0	+119	Up	+$9	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$49	45	31	+13	Up	+$22	05-07 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$43	44	44	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 00:14
btc updown 15m 1769575500	3	$37	25	24	+0	open	—	01-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$37	29	29	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$33	50	9	+41	Up	+$6	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Up	+$13	05-07 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$30	42	0	+42	Down	$-30	05-07 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$28	26	13	+12	Up	+$0	05-06 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$28	39	14	+24	Down	+$12	05-07 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$23	29	15	+14	Up	$-3	05-07 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$23	29	29	+0	Up	$-17	05-06 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$23	28	0	+28	Down	$-23	05-07 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$21	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$20	45	0	+45	Up	+$25	05-07 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Up	+$15	05-06 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	Down	$-20	05-07 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	Up	+$12	05-06 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	$-20	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	05-07 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Up	+$14	05-07 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	05-07 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Up	+$13	05-07 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 10:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x615c1a…
05-09 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xecbc1b…
05-09 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x2b0c73…
05-09 10:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xabdb7d…
05-08 00:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0cef2a…
05-08 00:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x07e7a4…
05-08 00:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xeb9af0…
05-08 00:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x36d2f9…
05-08 00:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xdc65b6…
05-08 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4cf3d1…
05-08 00:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4c8e6e…
05-08 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4b9996…
05-08 00:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x5c8fcf…
05-08 00:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x91edb7…
05-08 00:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x2de83c…
05-08 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7cd6dc…
05-08 00:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x076298…
05-08 00:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x453ebb…
05-08 00:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x0c2844…
05-08 00:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xb798ed…
05-08 00:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x50f7f5…
05-08 00:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x6fcf0d…
05-07 23:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x8f8938…
05-07 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xcf7aa8…
05-07 15:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb3fa6c…
05-07 15:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb3088f…
05-07 15:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5bd8d0…
05-07 15:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0xd1fea7…
05-07 15:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x226512…
05-07 15:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd25d58…
05-07 15:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5f38ca…
05-07 14:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x18ecf6…
05-07 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2bb310…
05-07 11:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xc3e804…
05-07 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc3cd23…
05-07 11:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x444a5e…
05-07 11:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5c9274…
05-07 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x37dc9c…
05-07 10:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x25d824…
05-07 10:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xe2e11b…
05-07 10:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x524b68…
05-07 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xb26557…
05-07 09:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0a1e5b…
05-07 08:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8842df…
05-07 08:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xbae1e7…
05-07 08:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf9bfe7…
05-07 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8bbb14…
05-07 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2e6cd2…
05-07 08:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcde35f…
05-07 08:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x011ad0…
05-07 06:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xda7797…
05-07 06:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xac381d…
05-07 06:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3be315…
05-07 06:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe12699…
05-07 06:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8fd49a…
05-07 06:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0xb65e6e…
05-07 06:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x36edda…
05-07 06:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe2bf35…
05-07 06:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0xa54e58…
05-07 06:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaaadbb…
05-07 05:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6d0050…
05-07 05:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x4d65cc…
05-07 05:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x110345…
05-07 05:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0xa74c53…
05-07 05:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4a55f1…
05-07 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc2382b…
05-07 05:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x34a31f…
05-07 05:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xf2ea05…
05-07 05:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa2cd25…
05-07 05:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x803e1a…
05-07 05:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0xec5a91…
05-07 05:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x550684…
05-07 05:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc39119…
05-07 04:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xffc02c…
05-07 04:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x01cabe…
05-07 04:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x82b47f…
05-07 04:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe5cf31…
05-07 04:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xaa63b1…
05-07 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc2091f…
05-07 04:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xae84c8…
05-07 04:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1f594d…
05-07 03:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x37d7d0…
05-07 03:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4f4d91…
05-07 03:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc1ecfd…
05-07 03:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xefa11e…
05-07 03:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x942c9f…
05-07 03:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x75a778…
05-07 03:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x7065bd…
05-07 03:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7106c7…
05-07 03:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0b7823…
05-07 03:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3e8f46…
05-07 03:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x745670…
05-07 02:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x93dd07…
05-07 02:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6bf1a1…
05-07 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x80d697…
05-07 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x092404…
05-07 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa3296e…
05-07 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x883daf…
05-07 02:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbf6f8e…
05-07 02:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xad9fb9…