Impressive-Ejector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-02 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Crypto

32% 56% $-8

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-6	$-6	96¢	$-6	$-0	06-02 06:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$85	91	0	+91	open	—	05-25 06:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$64	166	185	-19	open	—	05-24 03:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 10:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$47	40	33	+7	open	—	05-23 09:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$26	54	33	+22	open	—	05-23 16:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	6	$26	134	134	+0	open	—	05-21 08:37
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	8	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	05-16 04:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 04:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	4	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 11:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 12:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	05-19 04:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	4	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	05-24 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$18	133	133	+0	open	—	05-22 04:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$16	42	42	+0	open	—	05-21 08:36
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	3	$14	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	05-14 12:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$14	15	7	+8	open	—	05-27 14:30
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 04:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-23 04:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-23 04:05
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$12	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 06:34
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	3	$11	41	41	+0	open	—	05-17 01:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 04:34
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 09:02
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 13:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-23 04:05
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 06:01:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x4b4bea…
05-27 14:30:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb473ce…
05-25 10:02:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x34a277…
05-25 07:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x18d9a3…
05-25 06:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xa5e117…
05-25 06:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x853f6f…
05-25 04:24:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x20df57…
05-25 01:13:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1eec68…
05-25 01:11:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1f6445…
05-24 15:23:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x1c9599…
05-24 15:22:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf640d5…
05-24 15:00:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x4179b2…
05-24 14:51:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x001baf…
05-24 12:38:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x2d871a…
05-24 11:05:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8947f4…
05-24 08:47:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x47b551…
05-24 07:11:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x54c93a…
05-24 07:10:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb4f045…
05-24 03:28:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x82a645…
05-24 03:28:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x656d5f…
05-24 01:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x03da30…
05-24 00:47:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe225ed…
05-23 16:43:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x3210a5…
05-23 16:42:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x56b194…
05-23 15:51:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xb53313…
05-23 15:19:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x57b616…
05-23 14:14:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x188802…
05-23 11:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x941fc2…
05-23 11:23:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xf4af3c…
05-23 10:57:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6a302e…
05-23 10:57:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xcdb0e8…
05-23 10:35:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4f5fe7…
05-23 09:13:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4d6e9e…
05-23 04:05:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$5	0x7ad12b…
05-23 04:05:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc8db40…
05-23 04:05:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x39358b…
05-23 04:05:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xca2a53…
05-23 04:04:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xaeb51b…
05-22 23:44:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1a01dd…
05-22 23:44:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xddcc58…
05-22 23:39:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xad2449…
05-22 21:29:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9d3959…
05-22 21:01:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xba209d…
05-22 17:50:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x86e990…
05-22 17:03:17	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xed6267…
05-22 17:01:41	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb06581…
05-22 16:32:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4964be…
05-22 09:37:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7456f0…
05-22 04:46:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x3baccb…
05-22 04:46:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0x69475c…
05-21 20:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xbe6dba…
05-21 20:20:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa3017a…
05-21 18:21:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x2d5f73…
05-21 17:26:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xfa7a41…
05-21 13:36:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd9ed0b…
05-21 12:00:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xd9ea6b…
05-21 12:00:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xf0bc05…
05-21 11:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x47fc72…
05-21 11:59:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x8dd49d…
05-21 11:59:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x51ac2b…
05-21 11:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x5bdb2f…
05-21 11:59:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x5aede6…
05-21 11:32:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6d1b86…
05-21 10:55:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdbf077…
05-21 10:44:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdd2f9c…
05-21 10:00:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x23885c…
05-21 09:49:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc2d623…
05-21 08:37:14	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$5	0xee0730…
05-21 08:36:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x665c9c…
05-21 08:36:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x89700b…
05-20 14:19:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x6f3b20…
05-20 12:39:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbcab39…
05-20 10:38:10	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xd82418…
05-20 09:04:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x7bd927…
05-20 09:03:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa06b00…
05-20 08:58:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x329a9f…
05-20 08:54:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5652ac…
05-20 08:47:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x11befc…
05-20 07:22:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd423fb…
05-20 06:26:31	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0235ec…
05-20 06:21:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x611bc7…
05-20 06:20:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x23bf0f…
05-20 06:20:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x3ebc07…
05-20 06:20:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x492c29…
05-20 06:19:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xda5a98…
05-20 06:19:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0x44d552…
05-20 04:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x5e142d…
05-20 04:01:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xeb85db…
05-20 03:42:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x37731a…
05-20 03:42:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x167e25…
05-20 03:26:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc7410d…
05-19 18:43:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xeb807c…
05-19 17:59:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9fca13…
05-19 17:14:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9c0180…
05-19 16:08:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x8d6af1…
05-19 14:55:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdd9f4e…
05-19 14:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xa51a18…
05-19 14:00:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x433bbd…
05-19 13:37:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4c506e…
05-19 13:11:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdedcaf…