Imaginary-Understanding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$688

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-09 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-176

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$125	177	0	+177	Down	$-125	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-12 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$75	77	0	+77	Up	+$2	05-12 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$63	97	97	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$27	57	0	+57	Up	+$30	05-12 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$26	43	43	+0	Up	$-24	05-12 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	$-25	05-12 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	$-25	05-13 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	$-25	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-13 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	$-10	05-13 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	+$10	05-13 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 05:03
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 22pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-09 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-13 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:58:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 22pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x808f3b…
05-29 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe604de…
05-29 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbabf6d…
05-29 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8b18c7…
05-29 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3f6959…
05-29 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ba968…
05-13 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x47b206…
05-13 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9ef525…
05-13 05:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x29367c…
05-13 05:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x749b8e…
05-13 01:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8cdb59…
05-13 01:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xc4c5f3…
05-12 20:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x24ee36…
05-12 20:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x7cb0ee…
05-12 20:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x5adac5…
05-12 20:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x98703d…
05-12 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x9b3a52…
05-12 15:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x54f629…
05-12 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9bca01…
05-12 06:24:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x3abf69…
05-12 06:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x94e964…
05-12 06:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7a6094…
05-12 06:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x408328…
05-12 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0x64126f…
05-12 06:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	97	39¢	$38	0x160861…
05-12 06:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x904be0…
05-12 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x030537…
05-12 05:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x4cb412…
05-12 05:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xb3d567…
05-12 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x554ab1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$25.1K	1,379	05-29 22:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	17	$10.5K	542	06-08 21:53
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	17	$4.48K	1,244	05-29 22:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	17	$4.20K	649	05-29 22:55
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	17	$4.06K	1,107	05-29 22:58
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	17	$3.64K	524	05-29 22:55
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	17	$2.66K	474	05-29 22:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	17	$2.05K	198	05-29 22:55